Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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ACUS11 KWNS 011403
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011402
TXZ000-011600-
Mesoscale Discussion 1105
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0902 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024
Areas affected...South-central TX into the middle/upper TX coast
vicinity
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 011402Z - 011600Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated large hail and damaging wind possible this
morning.
DISCUSSION...Storms have intensified this morning from south-central
TX into the middle TX coast vicinity, mainly to the north of a weak
surface boundary draped across the region. Very rich low-level
moisture beneath steep midlevel lapse rates is supporting strong
buoyancy across the region, and additional elevated storm
development/intensification will be possible through mid morning.
Relatively strong mid/upper-level west-northwesterlies are
supporting sufficient effective shear (40+ kt) for some storm
organization, including the potential for a supercell or two. Severe
storm longevity and coverage remain somewhat uncertain through the
morning, but isolated hail and localized damaging gusts will be
possible. If trends support an uptick in severe-storm coverage, then
watch issuance will be considered.
..Dean/Smith.. 06/01/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...
LAT...LON 28759826 29049730 29639566 29979476 29539437 29219474
29039509 28799542 27659669 27679728 27879879 28249899
28559905 28759826