Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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ACUS11 KWNS 282100
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282100
TXZ000-NMZ000-282230-
Mesoscale Discussion 1054
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0400 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024
Areas affected...portions of western Texas
Concerning...Tornado Watch 344...
Valid 282100Z - 282230Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 344 continues.
SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Tornado Watch 344.
Large hail should be the main threat, though a couple of tornadoes
may still occur with one of the longer-lasting, dominant supercells.
Severe gusts would become an increasing concern if storm mergers
occur.
DISCUSSION...Multiple multicells and supercells are progressing
across the western TX Panhandle, with several having a history of
large hail. Current thinking is that these storms will progress
eastward while percolating in intensity, with a continued threat of
large hail (perhaps exceeding 2 inches in diameter). Regional VADs
show elongated hodographs, but with modest (at best) curvature in
the lowest few km. As such, the tornado threat should be limited to
any of the more dominant, discrete supercells that can become
long-lived. Should storms merge into an MCS, severe winds would
become the main threat, and a 65+ kt gust or two cannot be ruled
out.
..Squitieri.. 05/28/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...
LAT...LON 34650310 34780211 34600045 33920006 33180015 33000137
33080252 33190306 34650310