255
ACUS11 KWNS 271013
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271013
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-271215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1011
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0513 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024

Areas affected...northern Georgia into South Carolina/southern North
Carolina

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 271013Z - 271215Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Storms moving south-southeastward across northern Georgia,
and east-northeastward across central Alabama, will likely persist
for several hours.  Local/limited severe risk could prompt
consideration for new WW issuance across northern Georgia and the
western and central South Carolina vicinity.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows an east-northeast to
west-southwest band of strong thunderstorms moving southeastward
across northern Georgia and northeastern Alabama at this time.
Meanwhile, a second cluster of strong storms, south of the main
convective band, is currently moving east-northeastward into/across
central Alabama.  The downstream airmass across northern Georgia and
into western South Carolina remains modestly unstable, likely
sufficient to sustain storms over the next several hours.

While severe risk should remain limited/local, greater instability
-- possibly enhanced by the onset of some heating later this morning
-- is indicated into central South Carolina and adjacent
south-central North Carolina.  If convection can maintain some
organization/intensity across northern Georgia and western South
Carolina, some mid- to late-morning intensification could occur
within the aforementioned, more-unstable airmass to the east.  Given
these considerations, we will continue to monitor both the character
and evolution of the ongoing storms, with an eye toward the possible
need for new WW issuance east of WW 331 that is currently in effect
across the central third of Alabama.

..Goss/Edwards.. 05/27/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...CAE...GSP...FFC...BMX...

LAT...LON   33578543 34348470 34998309 35468070 34988011 33428116
            32928528 33578543