674
FNUS76 KMFR 200254
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Scott Bar Mt. RX U3C...USFS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
754 PM PDT Sun May 19 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 PDT on May 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Building high pressure will lead to warming temperatures
and increasing dryness through Tuesday afternoon. A weak trough will
move across the region on Tuesday evening and will improve recoveries
Tuesday night, and will bring gusty northwest winds in the afternoons.
A small portion of guidance suggests winds will trend stronger than
what is forecast closer to the high (3600 ft.) areas of this burn, with
winds being about 4 to 5 mph stronger Tuesday evening, with similar speeds
on Wednesday.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70 degrees.
Min humidity........Around 20 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast at 1 to 3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast at 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 13 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 41 degrees.
Max humidity........Around 70 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast at 1 to 3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast at 2 to 4 mph.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 9 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75 degrees.
Min humidity........Around 25 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light east winds becoming north at 1 to 5 mph
in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........East at 1 to 4 mph becoming north 4 to 8 mph in the
                    afternoon with gusts up to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY MAY 27 THROUGH SUNDAY JUNE 02...

For Nrn Calif...Increased probabilities for below normal temperatures
        and near normal precipitation, with continued trough across the
region. However, no rain is expected and winds will be elevated.
=
$$
Forecaster...MILES
Requested by...Thomas Shickle
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414679.0/MFR
.DELDT 05/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.shickle@usda.gov