222
FNUS76 KMFR 202214
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Simon RX...US Forest Service
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
314 PM PDT Mon May 20 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 PDT on May 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A weak high pressure briefly moves over the burn site
providing dry and slightly warmer weather, and generally weaker winds.
However, an upper low spins southward from British Columbia to northern
Oregon with showers occurring in the late afternoon and evening and through
the overnight period. Wetting rain is possible, but rainfall amounts will
be lighter. Gusty northwest winds are expected on Wednesday as
conditions begin to dry out.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A 30 percent chance of showers after
11 AM and increasing to a 75 percent chance by 5 pm.
New accumulations up to a tenth of an inch possible.
Max temperature.....64 to 66 degrees.
Min humidity........37 to 43 percent.
Eye level winds.....West 0 to 1 mph becoming 1 to 3 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........West 0 to 2 mph becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 9 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A 75 to 90 percent chance of rain
until 5 AM then decreasing to a 50 percent chance. New
accumulations up to 0.15 inches possible.
Min temperature.....40 to 42 degrees.
Max humidity........95 to 100 percent.
Eye level winds.....West 0 to 2 mph in the evening becoming 0 to 1 mph
                    after midnight.
Wind (20 ft)........West 5 to 7 mph in the evening becoming 0 to 2 mph
after midnight.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 11 mph.
CWR.................64 percent.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy becoming mostly sunny. A 50 percent
chance of rain showers until 11 AM, then decreasing
to a 10 percent chance. Patchy fog possible through
8 AM in areas where it is not raining.
Max temperature.....52 to  54.
Min humidity........48 to 52 percent.
Eye level winds.....West 0 to 1 mph increasing to 2 to 4 mph with gusts
to 9 pm after 11 AM.
Wind (20 ft)........West 1 to 3 mph increasing to 5 to 10 mph after 11 AM.
Gusts up to 23 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 16 mph.
CWR.................23 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...SCHAAF
Requested by...Stacy Ainslie
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414760.0/MFR
.DELDT 05/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL stacy.ainslie@usda.gov