736
FNUS76 KMFR 220150
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for J Lo unit 10...USFS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
650 PM PDT Tue May 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PDT on May 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Tonight through early Wednesday, an upper level
disturbance will move into the Pacific Northwest. While this
disturbance will be too far north of the burn site to result in
any precipitation, it will result in west to northwesterly winds
rapidly picking up early Wednesday morning, peaking around 2-3 PM
but remaining gusty into the late evening, especially over ridges
and exposed areas. Winds calm and shift NE to east late evening
into the overnight period. More average (for this time of year)
conditions follow Thursday and Friday, with a slight warming and
drying trend and calm morning winds followed by mild afternoon
breezes.


.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy in the morning, clearing to sunny
and mostly clear in the afternoon. Cumulus
forming over ridges in the late afternoon.
Max temperature.....50-53 degrees.
Min humidity........30-32 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds increasing in the early morning to 6-7
mph with gusts to around 13-15 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 13-15 mph with gusts to around 25-30
                    mph.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 24 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear, some cumulus in the evening.
Min temperature.....29-30 degrees.
Max humidity........71-74 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5-6 mph, gusting up to 13-15 mph
                    in the evening. Winds calming around 8-9 PM to east
2-3 mph overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 11-13 mph, gusting up to 20-25 mph
                    in the evening. Calming to ENE 4-5 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny, clear.
Max temperature.....63-65 degrees.
Min humidity........22-24 percent.
Eye level winds.....NE to north 1-2 mph in the morning transitioning
to NW 3-4 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 6 mph
in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........North 3-4 mph in the morning transitioning to NW
6-8 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...PRICE
Requested by...Joshua Fitzpatrick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414868.0/MFR
.DELDT 05/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joshua.fitzpatrick@usda.gov