242
FNUS72 KMHX 311036
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for KC...USMC
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
636 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on May 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
Shortwave passing through early this morning allows showers
to linger in the morning hours near the coast. Behind this wave,
cooler and drier high pressure builds overhead for the weekend.
High pressure then builds offshore early next week with temps
returning to above normal.

MinRHs in the mid 20s - low 30s away from the immediate coast this
afternoon.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 10 mph, gusts up to 15mph afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 14 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 98209 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Max 105.
Stability class.....2.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.11 to 30.15 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   8   11  14  10  4   4   5   5   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............64  67  71  73  76  77  78  78  79  78
RH..............81  73  61  51  40  32  29  28  27  28
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   9   10  10  9   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.    14  14  14  15  15  15  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.9 2.9 4.5 6.0 6.8 7.0 7.1 7.3 7.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.10  13  13  13  13  14  13  14  10  10
LVORI...........3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............16  31  45  67  84  101 95  105 80  80
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.12  24  36  57  75  94  88  98  76  76
Sfc pres (in)...011 013 014 015 015 015 014 014 014 014

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming east around 5 mph
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 8 mph shifting to the east 5 to 8
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Vent Rate...........Min 1724 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Min 2.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.14 to 30.23 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   2   1   3   7   9   7   2   0   0   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............77  75  72  67  66  61  60  59  57  57  54  54
RH..............31  34  44  59  63  78  81  87  90  90  100 100
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   4   2   1   2   3   3   4   3   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.    5               5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...5.3 1.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   E   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   8   7   7   7   8   6   7   6   6   6   5
LVORI...........1   2   2   3   3   4   5   6   6   6   9   9
ADI.............53  4   3   3   3   4   3   3   3   3   3   2
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.43  16  3   3   3   3   2   3   2   2   2   2
Sfc pres (in)...014 015 016 017 019 020 021 021 021 021 022 023

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 6 to 8 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 5 mph shifting to the south 5 to
                    10 mph late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 35880 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 8.
ADI.................Max 44.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.17 to 30.27 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........2      6      5      6      8      15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............55     62     72     79     81     83
RH..............96     81     49     38     35     33
20 ft wind......E 2    NE 1   NE 1   E 3    SE 6   SE 8
20 ft wind gust.                     5             14
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    3800   4600   5300   4100
Transport wind..E 3    NE 3   NE 3   NE 5   SE 5   S 8
LVORI...........8      5      2      2      2      1
ADI.............2      3      19     26     28     42
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.1      2      15     20     24     35
Sfc pres (in)...30.24  30.27  30.27  30.25  30.21  30.18

$$
Forecaster...Bowen
Requested by...Barrett Baker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415394.0/MHX
.DELDT 05/31/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL norton.baker@usmc.mil