Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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176
FNUS74 KMOB 251104
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto Burn Block 7207 Buttercup Flats...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
604 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and storms over a portion of the
area are expected today with dry conditions following for Sunday.
Afternoon relative humidity values remain above critical levels
today and Sunday. Transport winds will be mostly southwesterly to
westerly today and southerly to southwesterly on Sunday.
Dispersion index values will be fair to good today and generally
good to excellent on Sunday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog is possible early
this morning and again early Monday morning, mainly over far
inland locations.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1280-1798 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....45 increasing to 55 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........27     28     24     22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............87     92     93     90
RH..............61     51     49     54
20 FT wind dir..SW     SSW    SSW    SSW
20 FT wind spd..6      7      9      9
20 FT wind gust.8      9      13     13
Mix hgt (ft)....4200   5600   5900   5300
Mix hgt (m).....1280   1710   1800   1620
Transp wind dir.SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW
Transp wind spd.8      8      9      12
Trans wind dir..SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4      4      4      5
Dispersion idx..40     49     56     57
LVORI...........2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1615 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....57 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........22     20     18     29     38     45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............89     81     76     74     73     72
RH..............57     74     90     93     97     97
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      SSW    SSW    SSW
20 FT wind spd..9      7      6      5      5      5
20 FT wind gust.13     9      8      7      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....5300   1100   1100   700    600    500
Mix hgt (m).....1620   340    340    210    180    150
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      SW     SSW
Transp wind spd.14     14     14     12     9      8
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      SW     SSW
Trans spd (m/s).6      6      6      5      4      4
Dispersion idx..57     6      5      5      5      5
LVORI...........1      4      5      6      8      8

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 12 mph early in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1463 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 75.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........42     35     22     22     20     15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............72     77     85     89     91     90
RH..............100    85     65     56     50     54
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..5      6      9      10     13     14
20 FT wind gust.7      8      13     15     17     20
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1800   3400   4400   4700   4500
Mix hgt (m).....150    550    1040   1340   1430   1370
Transp wind dir.SSW    S      S      S      S      SSW
Transp wind spd.9      12     14     16     18     18
Trans wind dir..SSW    S      S      S      S      SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4      5      6      7      8      8
Dispersion idx..5      28     55     71     78     75
LVORI...........9      4      2      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415032.1/MOB
.DELDT 05/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov