Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
279
FNUS74 KMOB 250250
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Desoto Block 8531 South...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
950 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 2200 CDT on May 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 87 EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON OVER
THE BURN AREA...
.DISCUSSION...Dry weather conditions are forecast for the burn
area through the weekend. Afternoon relative humidity values
remain above critical levels and transport winds will be southerly
to southwesterly through the weekend. Dispersion index values will
be generally good Saturday and good on Sunday.
Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog expected late tonight
and late Saturday night, but visibilities should be no lower than
3 miles.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog after
3 am.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph in the late evening
and overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....5.
LVORI...............5 becoming 8.
Stability class.....6.
TIME (CDT) 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........34 47 64 68
Weather cov..... PATCHY
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1
Temp............76 75 75 74
RH..............90 94 94 95
20 FT wind dir..S SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 5
20 FT wind gust.9 9 9 7
Mix hgt (ft)....500 500 400 400
Mix hgt (m).....150 150 120 120
Transp wind dir.S S SSW SW
Transp wind spd.12 13 12 9
Trans wind dir..S S SSW SW
Trans spd (m/s).5 6 5 4
Dispersion idx..5 5 6 4
LVORI...........5 7 7 8
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog early in the
morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 6200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...Increasing to 1890 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 9 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 3 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 54.
LVORI...............9 becoming 1.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........67 56 52 40 25 22
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............72 75 83 88 91 92
RH..............100 96 74 59 51 48
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SSW
20 FT wind spd..2 2 5 6 6 7
20 FT wind gust.3 3 7 9 9 10
Mix hgt (ft)....400 1700 3000 4500 5900 4900
Mix hgt (m).....120 520 910 1370 1800 1490
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.8 8 8 7 8 9
Trans wind dir..SW SW SW SW SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 3 4 4
Dispersion idx..4 20 30 41 54 54
LVORI...........9 5 3 1 1 1
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Patchy fog after
3 am.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph in the evening and
overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....54 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............1 becoming 9.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........18 4 15 18 26 36
Weather cov..... PATCHY
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............90 81 77 74 73 73
RH..............52 74 87 96 97 97
20 FT wind dir..SSW S S SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT wind gust.9 9 9 9 9 7
Mix hgt (ft)....4900 500 500 500 500 400
Mix hgt (m).....1490 150 150 150 150 120
Transp wind dir.SSW S S SSW SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.13 12 12 12 10 9
Trans wind dir..SSW S S SSW SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).6 5 5 5 4 4
Dispersion idx..54 5 5 5 5 4
LVORI...........1 3 5 6 7 9
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 5500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...Increasing to 1676 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 87.
LVORI...............9 becoming 1.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
Sky (%).........46 33 22
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1
Temp............73 83 91
RH..............100 72 48
20 FT wind dir..SSW S S
20 FT wind spd..5 8 12
20 FT wind gust.7 13 17
Mix hgt (ft)....500 3400 5200
Mix hgt (m).....150 1040 1580
Transp wind dir.S SSW S
Transp wind spd.8 15 17
Trans wind dir..S SSW S
Trans spd (m/s).4 7 8
Dispersion idx..5 61 84
LVORI...........9 3 1
$$
Forecaster...22
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415033.1/MOB
.DELDT 05/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov