Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
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947 FNUS74 KMOB 311449 FWSMOB Spot Forecast for H-4 RX...Eglin AFB National Weather Service Mobile AL 949 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on June 01. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected over the burn site through this evening, then rain chances increase late tonight into Saturday. A chance for rain continues for Sunday. Afternoon relative humidity values remain above critical levels. Transport winds will be mostly southeasterly through Saturday then a southerly flow follows for Sunday. Dispersion values will be generally good today through Saturday and fair on Sunday. Fog potential and other remarks...Fog development is not anticipated through Sunday. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and thunderstorms likely. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. LAL.................4. Max temperature.....Around 84. Min humidity........67 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 17 to 23 mph. Dispersion index....33 increasing to 50 early in the morning, then decreasing to 39 in the afternoon. LVORI...............3. Stability class.....4. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM Sky (%).........65 69 71 70 73 76 Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY Chc of pcpn (%).70 70 70 60 60 60 LAL.............4 4 4 4 4 4 Temp............77 84 84 82 83 84 RH..............82 67 67 72 70 67 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE 20 FT wind spd..12 13 14 15 15 14 20 FT wind gust.22 23 24 25 24 21 Mix hgt (ft)....1300 3000 3100 3000 2800 2800 Transp wind dir.SE SSE S SSE SSE SSE Transp wind spd.20 23 21 18 17 17 Dispersion idx..33 50 50 41 37 37 LVORI...........3 3 2 2 2 3 .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................4 until 1900, then 3. Min temperature.....Around 72. Max humidity........87 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 13 mph in the evening becoming light, then becoming south around 5 mph after 3 am. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 9 to 17 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to 7 mph after 3 am. Dispersion index....37 decreasing to 8. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....4. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........77 75 70 65 64 66 Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).60 40 40 40 30 30 LAL.............4 3 3 3 3 3 Temp............82 78 76 75 74 73 RH..............69 79 82 82 84 87 20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE S S SSE 20 FT wind spd..13 8 6 5 5 6 20 FT wind gust.18 13 9 7 7 9 Mix hgt (ft)....2800 600 600 600 600 400 Transp wind dir.S S S S S SE Transp wind spd.17 15 12 12 9 6 Dispersion idx..37 14 11 10 9 8 LVORI...........3 3 4 4 4 5 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. LAL.................3. Max temperature.....Around 85. Min humidity........65 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 9 to 12 mph. Dispersion index....9 increasing to 39. LVORI...............4. Stability class.....3. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........57 56 61 46 41 44 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).30 40 40 40 50 50 LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 Temp............73 76 81 83 84 84 RH..............87 82 72 67 65 65 20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE S S S 20 FT wind spd..6 7 8 9 10 10 20 FT wind gust.9 10 13 14 16 16 Mix hgt (ft)....600 1400 2900 3900 4200 3900 Transp wind dir.SSE SSE S S S SSW Transp wind spd.9 12 10 10 10 10 Dispersion idx..9 22 32 38 39 36 LVORI...........5 3 3 2 2 2 $$ Forecaster...29 Requested by...Tom Murrie Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2415408.0/MOB .DELDT 05/31/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL thomas.murrie@us.af.mil