Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
970 FNUS73 KMPX 231332 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Freeman WMA...MN DNR National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 832 AM CDT Thu May 23 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... For the Freeman WMA fire, winds will be out of the south/southeast at ignition with speeds between 10-15 mph. A slight increase in winds will bring gusts into to the 20-25 mph range this afternoon. RH`s in the 60s at ignition will fall into the 40-45 percent range this afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible this evening, with more likely storms overnight. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Temperature.........64 at ignition...Max 78. RH..................67 percent at ignition...Min 40 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 10 mph at ignition...otherwise South winds 10 to 17 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Fair /22200 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /98700 knot-ft/ increasing to excellent (148500 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 18 to 26 mph increasing to around 29 mph late in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM Sky cover.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC Weather cov..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Temp............64 66 69 71 73 75 76 76 76 74 71 69 RH..............67 63 59 55 51 45 43 43 43 48 55 57 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S SE SE 20 FT wind spd..10 12 14 14 15 16 17 17 16 14 14 14 20 FT wind gust.15 17 20 21 22 23 24 24 23 22 22 22 Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 2.8 3.6 4.5 4.5 5.5 6.5 6.3 4.3 2.6 0.9 0.6 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.18 21 22 23 23 21 26 29 24 21 22 21 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers likely in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms through the night. Showers overnight. Temperature.........Min 56. RH..................Max 93 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 14 to 16 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (90000 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (7700 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 15 to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Rain showers likely in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 63. RH..................Min 59 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 15 mph shifting to the west 16 to 23 mph early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (13000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (109700 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (109800 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph shifting to the northwest 26 to 32 mph late in the morning. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Strus Requested by...Matt Mecklenburg Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2414999.0/MPX .DELDT 05/23/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL matt.mecklenburg@state.mn.us