548
FNUS73 KMPX 201655
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Hopp...FWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1155 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 CDT on May 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will rise into the lower 70s this
afternoon allowing relative humidity values to drop to near 55
percent. Winds will be northwesterly near 10 mph, turning more
northerly as we go into this evening. A 20 to 30 percent chance of
a shower or thunderstorm also exists early this evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Temperature.........69 at ignition...Max 73.
RH..................65 percent at ignition...Min 56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 9 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 9 to 14
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /40000 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /57900 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID
Sky cover.......PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............69  70  72  70  70  70  67  65  62  60  59  60
RH..............65  62  57  59  56  58  61  63  70  74  74  73
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..9   12  14  14  13  12  9   8   7   7   6   7
20 FT wind gust.16  18  20  22  21  18  16  14  13  12  10  12
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.4 2.7 1.1 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.14  15  17  16  16  16  15  12  12  13  15  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely overnight.
Temperature.........Min 55.
RH..................Max 88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 7 to 13 mph overnight. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (47800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 16 mph shifting to the northeast 18
                    to 22 mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the morning, then
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Temperature.........Max 59.
RH..................Min 79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 13 to 21 mph. Gusts up to 29
                    mph increasing to 32 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (15600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (53400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 20 to 25 mph increasing to 26 to 32
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Grunzke
Requested by...Millette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414730.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov