088
FXUS64 KOHX 191118
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
618 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 116 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Skies are gradually clearing across the area this morning and
patchy fog is developing again. Dense fog has been spotty and
short lived so far, but areas near rivers and lakes may have
limited visibilities through around sunrise. If it becomes more
widespread, a dense fog advisory may be needed.

With rain well to our east and plenty of sunshine in the forecast
today, we should warm into the 80s across the area. Weak ridging
will keep afternoon highs warming a couple of degrees each day,
pushing temperatures into the mid to upper 80s by Monday
afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Sunday)
Issued at 116 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Dry weather and warming temperatures will continue into Tuesday,
when the Nashville metro area might flirt with 90 degrees. The
aforementioned upper ridging will begin to break down Tuesday
night, giving way to rain and storm chances on Wednesday.
Southerly flow will increase ahead of this next system, so we`ll
stay warm and humid as rain moves in on Wednesday. As it`s
supporting low pressure system races off to the north, this front
is expected to linger over Middle TN Thursday and Friday providing
a focus for showers and storms during the daytime hours. Ample
cloud cover will keep temperatures a few degrees cooler on those
afternoons. Toward the end of the work week, models show a
shortwave moving in and finally pushing showers to our east. Any
break in the rain will likely be short-lived as another broad
upper trough brings more showers and storms next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 616 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Patchy MVFR to IFR fog mainly south and west of Nashville will
lift over the next 1-2 hours. Clear skies and VFR conditions
after 14z. Northerly winds under 7 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      86  63  88  66 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    86  61  87  65 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     80  57  81  60 /  10   0   0   0
Columbia       86  61  86  64 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     81  60  82  62 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      81  58  82  60 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   84  61  85  64 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   86  60  87  63 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        86  62  87  66 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM CDT this morning for Bedford-
Cannon-Coffee-Dickson-Giles-Grundy-Hickman-Houston-Humphreys-
Lawrence-Lewis-Marshall-Maury-Perry-Rutherford-Stewart-Van Buren-
Warren-Wayne-Williamson.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Whitehead
LONG TERM....Whitehead
AVIATION.....Mueller