Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
712 FNUS55 KPSR 222107 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 207 PM MST Wed May 22 2024 .DISCUSSION... Dry and tranquil conditions will continue through the next few days, with temperatures hovering right around normal for this time of year. Winds will follow typical diurnal trends with occasional afternoon gusts near 20 mph. MinRH values will range between 5-15%, while MaxRHs over south-central Arizona will only range between 20-25%, resulting in poor overnight recoveries. Slightly better overnight recoveries are expected over SW Arizona and SE California with MaxRH values between 30-50%. Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-230915- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 207 PM MST Wed May 22 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................59-69. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................26-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................89-96. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 12 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................60-70. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-52 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................89-97. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 20 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 58-68. Highs 84-90. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 58-68. Highs 89-95. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 62-72. Highs 94-100. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 64-74. Highs 98-104. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66-76. Highs 99-105. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-230915- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 207 PM MST Wed May 22 2024 /207 PM PDT Wed May 22 2024/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................61-66. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................42-60 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................92-97. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 11 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................62-67. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................42-67 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................92-97. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 15 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 57-62. Highs 86-91. West winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 58-66. Highs 91-96. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 63-69. Highs 96-101. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 66-71. Highs 100-105. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-72. Highs 101-106. $$ AZZ133-230915- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 207 PM MST Wed May 22 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................48-61. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................24-34 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................76-90. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................49-63. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................31-41 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming southeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................78-93. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 47-62. Highs 73-86. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 47-65. Highs 77-90. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 50-67. Highs 82-96. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 52-70. Highs 86-99. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55-70. Highs 87-100. $$ CAZ232-230915- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 207 PM PDT Wed May 22 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................62-69. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................30-53 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................88-98. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................61-68. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................34-56 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................85-95. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................12-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph in the morning becoming 25 to 35 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 56-65. Highs 80-89. West winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 58-70. Highs 86-95. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 64-72. Highs 92-101. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 67-74. Highs 96-105. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68-74. Highs 96-105. $$ CAZ230-230915- Joshua Tree National Park- 207 PM PDT Wed May 22 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................53-64. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................30-42 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming west 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................77-93. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................52-64. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................34-50 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................72-90. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................13-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 45-61. Highs 68-86. West winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 49-66. Highs 76-90. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 56-69. Highs 81-96. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59-71. Highs 84-99. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60-71. Highs 85-100. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Thursday May 30th through Saturday June 1st: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.