201
FNUS75 KPSR 200256
FWSPSR

Spot Forecast for Wildcat...USFS
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
756 PM MST Sun May 19 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 MST on May 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Near-critical fire weather conditions are expected Monday due to
dry conditions and increasing strong winds. Typical light, diurnal
winds are favored through the overnight period tonight before
southerly winds begin increasing around 8AM-9AM with gusts through
the rest of the morning climbing upwards of 15-20 mph. Winds will
further strengthen going into the afternoon Monday with
directions becoming southwesterly around noon. Gusts are expected
to climb to around 25-35 mph during the afternoon with a few
gusts to around 40 mph briefly possible as a cold front sweeps
through during the early afternoon hours. A light shower or a few
sprinkles will be possible in the afternoon as the front pushes
through the area, but no accumulation is expected at this time.
Strong, gusty winds taper off Monday evening with speeds mostly
falling under 10 mph. Breezy south to southwest winds are favored
Tuesday with afternoon gusts to around 20 mph. Min RHs will be
around 15% Monday before falling to around 10% Tuesday, while Max
RHs tonight will be around 25-30% and Monday night will be around
35-40%. Afternoon highs will be in the mid to upper 80s the next
couple of days.

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Haze and areas of smoke.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Haze and areas
                    of smoke in the morning.
CWR.................4 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South to southeast winds 5 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 to 35
                    mph in the afternoon. A few gusts could briefly climb
                    to around 40 mph in the afternoon.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........36-41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph with gusts to around 15
                    mph shifting to the southwest 5 to 7 mph
                    overnight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........9-14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around
                    20 mph in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...IS
Requested by...Carrie Dennett
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2414688.0/PSR
.DELDT 05/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL carrie_dennett@usda.gov