296
FNUS75 KPUB 021734
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Booger Red - FI210...BLM
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1134 AM MDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 MDT on June 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Gusty west-southwester winds are expected throughout this afternoon
over the burn site. Some gusts up to 30 mph are possible with sustained
winds staying around 20 mph. An isolated weak shower is possible between
1400-1600 this afternoon, but there may be a few rain drops out of that.
Most importantly the shower would create gusty outflow winds up to 40 mph
for a very brief period of time. Winds become diurnal through the overnight
with standard down valley winds - so from the northwest - according to the
topography of that region. Tomorrow looks warm and dry once again with
some isolated weak thunderstorms developing after 1500. Once again, a few
drops of rain is expected, but gusty thunderstorm outflows are the main risk.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(46 percent) until 1500, then
                    mostly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....78F.
Min humidity........5-10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 12 mph.
Mixing height.......13500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  38  49  60  72  71  70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............73  76  77  78  78  77  76
RH..............13  11  10  10  10  11  12
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.20  23  23  23  22  22  22
Mix hgt (kft)...13  15  15  15  14  14  13
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.25  24  24  21  18  18  18
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/1000284 302 320 272 224 216 208

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(60 percent) until 2200, then
                    mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....45F.
Max humidity........46-51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 10 mph until 2100, then north
                    around 8 mph until 2400, then northwest winds around
                    6 mph.
Mixing height.......12500 ft agl until 1900. 1000 ft agl after
                    2000.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph until 2100, then northwest
                    around 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 1900, then very good until
                    2000, then poor.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........69  63  57  51  36  21  6   7   7   8   8   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............74  72  66  62  58  56  53  51  50  47  46  45
RH..............13  14  19  23  28  32  38  41  44  49  51  51
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  8   8   8   6   6   6   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  15  15  15  13  13  13  8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...13  7.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.18  16  14  15  14  13  10  9   9   7   9   8
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/1000201 102 14  14  12  12  9   8   8   6   8   7

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(34 percent) until 1500, then
                    mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
LAL.................1 until 1500, then 3.
Max temperature.....76F.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........northwest winds around 6 mph until 1200, then
                    southwest around 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl until 0900, then 9500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph until 1000, then west
                    around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Excellent after 1200.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   8   9   10  19  28  37  49  61  73  74  74
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3
Temp............45  49  58  64  67  71  74  76  76  76  76  75
RH..............51  46  32  25  22  18  17  16  16  16  16  17
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   7   7   7   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   14  14  14  17  17  17  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 2.5 5.0 8.0 9.5 12  11  11  11  9.5 8.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   9   8   12  13  14  16  16  17  17  20  22
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10007   10  18  50  85  116 159 156 164 161 162 159

$$
Forecaster...SKELLY
Requested by...Damon Kurtz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415496.0/PUB
.DELDT 06/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0