Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA
410 FXUS66 KSGX 041612 AFDSGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Diego CA 912 AM PDT Tue Jun 4 2024 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure aloft will continue the inland warming trend, with heat peaking on Thursday and Friday. High temperatures for the mountains and deserts will generally be 8 to 12 degrees above average, exceeding 105 in portions of the Apple and Lucerne Valleys and 110 in the lower deserts. The marine layer will keep coastal areas cooler with night and morning coastal low clouds, but not spreading as far into the valleys for Thursday and Friday. Then gradually cooler for Saturday through Monday. && .DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE... SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES... High pressure aloft over the western US will continue the warming trend through Thursday for most inland areas. Highs along and near the coast today will be near-to-slightly-above seasonal normals, while inland areas range generally from 5 to 10 degrees above normal. The warmest days for areas west of the mountains generally look to be Wednesday and Thursday, while the lower deserts see peak heat occur on Thursday and Friday. Widespread highs between 100 and 105 for the High Deserts and highs of 108 to 113 for the lower deserts will occur during their respective hottest days. The Inland Empire will see highs routinely ranging from the middle 80s to middle 90s starting today as well. While these temperatures are warmer than seasonal averages for early June, very few, if any daily temperature records look to be challenged. The coasts will remain relatively cool through this week owing to marine layer clouds each morning. High pressure aloft will cause the marine layer to become more and more shallow, with morning low clouds only covering portions of the inland valleys by this weekend. The high pressure aloft then looks to weaken and give way to upper level troughing later this weekend and early next week. Upper troughing does look to draw in the remnants of an upper low over/near the southern Baja California coast, but overall impacts to sensible weather look to be minor, perhaps some extra high clouds owing to a lack of deep-layer moisture. The ultimate impacts look to be a gradual cooling trend and a re-deepening of the marine layer. Highs will still be rather hot in the deserts, generally 105 to 110 in the lower deserts and the middle to upper 90s for the high deserts. Marine layer clouds will gradually become more expansive again during this time. And begin to spread back in and cover all of the coastal basin again by early next week. && .AVIATION... 041545Z...Coast/Valleys...Low clouds with bases 1300-1500 feet MSL and tops to 2500 feet cover the coastal areas and much of the inland valley at this hour. Clearing is begging at the inland edges of the cloud layer. Expect clearing to the coast around 20Z but SCT-BKN conditions will likely persist into the afternoon at the immediate coast. Low clouds will move ashore after 00Z and spread locally into valleys through 14Z Wednesday. Bases around 1000-1500 feet MSL, higher terrain obscured and inland VIS reduced. Otherwise...Decreasing high clouds today and mostly clear tonight with unrestricted VIS. && .MARINE... No hazardous marine conditions are expected through Saturday. && .SKYWARN... Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions. && .SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA...Excessive Heat Warning from 10 AM Wednesday to 9 PM PDT Friday for Apple and Lucerne Valleys-Coachella Valley-San Diego County Deserts-San Gorgonio Pass Near Banning. PZ...None. && $$ PUBLIC...Adams AVIATION/MARINE...PG