438
FXUS62 KTBW 251338
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
938 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024

...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 934 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024

High pressure remains over the area which will translate to most of
the area remaining rain-free and hot. Any rain that does develop
will likely form over the interior and southeast Florida later this
afternoon. Morning temperatures are already in the low to mid 80`s
and will top out in the upper 80`s to low 90`s along the coast and
mid to upper 90`s over the interior. No changes needed to current
forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 934 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024

VFR conditions with light and variable winds expected early this
morning, then increasing WNW around 8-13 knots by mid morning and
continuing through the afternoon. Will hold off mentioning any
weather at all terminals at this time as it appears most rain
chances will remain over the interior east of the terminals.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 934 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024

High pressure will remain in place across the eastern gulf waters
with the ridge axis shifting south of the area for the extended
weekend. This will keep a light westerly flow over the gulf waters
through the period. A weak front will move through the area on
Tuesday and Wednesday, with a few showers and storms possible with
it. No headlines are expected through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  91  75  91  76 /  10   0   0   0
FMY  94  74  93  74 /  10  10  10   0
GIF  95  73  97  73 /  30  10  10   0
SRQ  91  73  92  73 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  94  67  94  67 /  10   0   0   0
SPG  90  78  90  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 4
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 1

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...Close