Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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804
FNUS72 KTBW 171203
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for ARC MU 17B...CELM
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
803 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
No Red Flag concerns expected as abundant moisture remains over the
area with daily showers and storms possible over the next few days.
Some high dispersions will be possible on Saturday with some gusty
SW winds ahead of the next cold front expected to move through on
Sunday.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........66     59     60     45     33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............77     85     89     92     94
RH..............82     68     56     49     46
20 ft wind......S 2    SW 6   W 8    SW 9   W 9
20 ft wind gust.5      8      12     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   3000   4300   4700   4800
Transport wind..SW 6   SW 10  W 12   SW 12  W 13
Dispersion idx..14     40     60     74     71
LVORI...........4      2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........31     13     9      8      19     33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............92     87     80     77     75     74
RH..............49     59     77     87     96     97
20 ft wind......W 9    W 6    SW 3   SW 2   SW 2   S 2
20 ft wind gust.14     10     7      6      5      6
Mix hgt (ft)....4400   1200   500    500    400    400
Transport wind..W 12   W 10   SW 9   SW 7   SW 6   SW 6
Dispersion idx..51     5      0      3      3      2
LVORI...........1      3      4      6      7      8

.SATURDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........48     54     22     26     25     24
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     30     30
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............74     76     85     92     94     97
RH..............98     94     69     53     46     42
20 ft wind......S 2    S 3    S 7    SW 10  SW 13  SW 13
20 ft wind gust.6      7      12     15     18     18
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    2900   4900   6300   5700
Transport wind..S 6    S 7    SW 12  SW 16  SW 20  SW 21
Dispersion idx..0      7      43     75     89     94
LVORI...........9      6      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Carlisle
Requested by...Nicholas Alfano
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414494.0/TBW
.DELDT 05/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alfanon@hcfl.gov