Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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198 FXUS64 KTSA 180528 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1228 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (The rest of tonight) Issued at 839 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024 Showers and thunderstorms across the eastern half of the CWA are finally winding down and should completely dissipate within an hour or two. Conditions will be quiet for the remainder of the evening. Overnight, areas of fog are expected to develop, especially near areas that had rain today. Where fog does develop, it will likely persist until after sunrise. Low temperatures will mainly be in the upper 50s to low 60s. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Friday) Issued at 127 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024 We dry out and warm up for the weekend. We`ll likely see the first 90 degree high temps for 2024. There`s a decent signal that storms will come off the dryline on Sunday afternoon well to our west, and some of this activity may survive into NE OK Sunday night in a weakened state. Capping looks stronger on Monday along the dryline, so the focus shifts to a sagging front across KS. Storm activity should stay north of the state line thru Monday night. As the front sinks slowly southeast on Tuesday, storm chances will increase across the region. Exact evolution remains uncertain, but chances of severe weather will go up with strong flow aloft and favorable late May thermodynamics. Storm chances continue Wednesday with the front, mainly over the eastern and southern portions of the forecast area. Storm chances will continue thru the end of the week. Lacy && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1227 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024 Patchy fog may reduce visibilities at some sites through early morning, otherwise VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period with light winds. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 88 64 90 70 / 0 0 0 30 FSM 87 65 91 69 / 10 0 0 0 MLC 88 64 90 69 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 87 60 89 66 / 0 0 0 40 FYV 84 57 88 64 / 10 0 0 10 BYV 83 60 88 66 / 10 0 0 10 MKO 85 63 88 67 / 0 0 0 10 MIO 84 61 87 67 / 0 0 0 20 F10 85 63 88 68 / 0 0 0 10 HHW 86 64 88 68 / 0 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...06 LONG TERM....30 AVIATION...05