Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
949 FLUS44 KTSA 241003 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 503 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251015- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 503 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...This Morning...Then Mid Afternoon. DISCUSSION... A cold front will move into the area this morning, with scattered showers and storms possible around or just after sunrise across northeast Oklahoma. These storms could be severe, with large hail the main threat. Better storm chances will exist this afternoon along and ahead of the frontal boundary in eastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas. A highly unstable airmass and strong shear would support supercells capable of all hazards, especially large to significant hail in excess of two inches in diameter. Storms will move east during the evening into southeast Oklahoma and west central Arkansas, with a continues severe threat. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential. SUNDAY...High Wind Potential. MONDAY AND TUESDAY...No Hazards. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Strong storm system will bring storm chances back to the area on Saturday as storms could develop along a dryline in central Oklahoma and spread eastward into the eastern Oklahoma during the evening hours. All severe hazards will be possible, including large to very large hail and tornadoes. Storms will likely be isolated to widely scattered as a capping inversion limits convection along the boundary during the afternoon before the arrival of stronger forcing. A couple of quiet days are expected for the remainder of the holiday weekend. Nightly thunderstorm chances will return by mid week as northwest flow aloft sets up and chances increase for storm complexes moving into the region overnight. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$