Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
041 FLUS44 KTSA 241805 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 105 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251030- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 105 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. TORNADO. RISK...Limited. AREA...Southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas. ONSET...Late afternoon. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Much of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas, mainly south and east of I-44. ONSET...Late afternoon. DISCUSSION... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop late this afternoon and continue into this evening in advance of a cold front moving through the region. A highly unstable airmass and strong shear would support supercells capable of all hazards, especially large to significant hail in excess of two inches in diameter. Storms will move east during the evening into southeast Oklahoma and west central Arkansas, with a continued severe threat. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential. SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential. MONDAY...No Hazards. TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Strong storm system will bring storm chances back to the area on Saturday as storms could develop along a dryline in central Oklahoma and spread eastward into the eastern Oklahoma during the evening hours. All severe hazards will be possible, including large to very large hail and tornadoes. Storms will likely be isolated to widely scattered as a capping inversion limits convection along the boundary during the afternoon before the arrival of stronger forcing. A couple of quiet days are expected for the remainder of the holiday weekend. Nightly thunderstorm chances will return by mid week as northwest flow aloft sets up and chances increase for storm complexes moving into the region overnight. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$