Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
379 FLUS44 KTSA 251759 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1259 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261015- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 1259 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight. TORNADO. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma. ONSET...This evening. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...This evening. SIGNIFICANT WINDS. RISK...Limited. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...Ongoing. DISCUSSION... Southerly winds will increase this afternoon as a frontal boundary lifts back northward across the region in response to a deepening surface low over western Kansas. The main story today will be the potential for severe thunderstorms moving out of central Oklahoma into eastern Oklahoma by this evening. The storms will likely be widely scattered, but will pose the threat of large hail, damaging wind gusts, and tornadoes. Activity should weaken as it moves eastward into Arkansas. An organized MCS could also clip parts of far northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas late tonight, with more severe potential...mainly damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential. MONDAY...No Hazards. TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... A couple of quiet days are expected for the remainder of the holiday weekend. A few thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday across far eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas as a cold front moves through, but will quickly shift eastward. Nightly thunderstorm chances will return by mid week as northwest flow aloft sets up and chances increase for storm complexes moving into the region overnight. Some severe potential will likely exist on those nights, along with the threat for heavy rainfall and isolated flooding. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$