113
FXUS65 KTWC 212055
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
155 PM MST Tue May 21 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Expect dry conditions with breezy afternoons at times
this week. Temperatures will remain near or slightly above average
for late May. A ridge of high pressure should bring hotter
temperatures early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...The overall synoptic pattern won`t change very much
for Arizona for the remainder of the work week. A longwave trough
will be in place over the West with shortwave troughs rotating
through well to the north and high pressure over Mexico. Arizona
will be sandwiched between these two features leading to breezy
winds each afternoon especially east of Tucson. Temperatures will
be around normal through the weekend. Early next week ensembles
show positive height anomalies returning which could lead to
another run at 100 degrees for Tucson.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 23/00Z.
SKC through the entire TAF period. WLY SFC winds less than 18 kts in
the afternoons with gusts up to 25 kts. Then light and variable
overnight. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Dry conditions with breezy afternoons at times
into this coming weekend. Minimum RH values bottoming out in the
single digits in valleys with poor to fair overnight recoveries.
Temperatures near typical values for late May, with hotter
afternoons possible early next week.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

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