Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
660 FXUS65 KTWC 230843 AFDTWC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tucson AZ 143 AM MST Thu May 23 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Expect dry conditions with breezy afternoons at times this week. Temperatures will remain near or slightly above average for late May. A ridge of high pressure should bring hotter temperatures early next week with Tucson making another run at 100. && .DISCUSSION...We`ll continue to see a broad zonal to southwesterly flow at the base of a large scale mean trough position through western states as a series of impulses pass to our north. With high pressure over much of Mexico, the resulting gradient between these features will bring us breezy afternoons into the weekend. Saturday may see the strongest winds. Ensemble means continue to advertise positive height anomalies early next week as Tucson makes another run at it`s first 100 degree day around Tuesday or so. It`s not out of the question that we sneak it in on Monday as the ridge builds up into the desert southwest. Seasonably dry until further notice. && .AVIATION...Valid through 24/12Z. SKC. WLY SFC winds 12-18 kts this afternoon with gusts up to 25 kts. Then light and variable overnight and early morning. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments. && .FIRE WEATHER...Dry conditions with breezy afternoons at times into this coming weekend, especially Saturday. Minimum RH values bottoming out in the single digits in valleys with poor to fair overnight recoveries. Some areas in southeast Cochise County and along the AZ/NM border could see localized and brief critical fire weather conditions. Temperatures near typical values for late May, with hotter afternoons possible early next week. && .TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson