Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
113 FXUS65 KTWC 212055 AFDTWC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tucson AZ 155 PM MST Tue May 21 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Expect dry conditions with breezy afternoons at times this week. Temperatures will remain near or slightly above average for late May. A ridge of high pressure should bring hotter temperatures early next week. && .DISCUSSION...The overall synoptic pattern won`t change very much for Arizona for the remainder of the work week. A longwave trough will be in place over the West with shortwave troughs rotating through well to the north and high pressure over Mexico. Arizona will be sandwiched between these two features leading to breezy winds each afternoon especially east of Tucson. Temperatures will be around normal through the weekend. Early next week ensembles show positive height anomalies returning which could lead to another run at 100 degrees for Tucson. && .AVIATION...Valid through 23/00Z. SKC through the entire TAF period. WLY SFC winds less than 18 kts in the afternoons with gusts up to 25 kts. Then light and variable overnight. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments. && .FIRE WEATHER...Dry conditions with breezy afternoons at times into this coming weekend. Minimum RH values bottoming out in the single digits in valleys with poor to fair overnight recoveries. Temperatures near typical values for late May, with hotter afternoons possible early next week. && .TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson