329
FXUS65 KTWC 280928
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
228 AM MST Tue May 28 2024

.SYNOPSIS...High temperatures will run above normal over the next
seven days as we close out May and begin June.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A clear sky prevailed across southern Arizona this
morning. For the last four days of May and the first weekend of
June high temperatures will generally run up to 4 degrees above
normal. Afternoon winds will show typical heat of the day
gustiness for the next 7 days.

Next week, in the 8 to 12 day period, we will be watching the
potential for hotter high temperatures and the increase in the
heat risk levels.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 29/12Z.
Clear skies/SKC conditions thru 28/18Z, then FEW-SCT clouds AOA 20k
ft AGL thru the remainder of the forecast period. SFC wind less than
10 kts and variable in direction thru 28/18Z and again aft 29/03Z.
SWLY/WLY SFC wind at 11-17 kts and gusts to 18-27 kts between 28/18Z
and 29/03Z, with the strongest SFC wind southeast of KTUS in the
vicinity of KALK and KDUG. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF
amendments

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...High temperatures will be 3-6 degrees above normal
through the upcoming weekend. Expect min RH values of 3-8 percent in
the lower elevations and 8-15 percent in the mountains the next 7
days, with poor overnight recoveries between 20-30 percent in most
locations. 20-foot winds will follow typical diurnal patterns this
week, with afternoon/early evening gustiness due to strong surface
heating. The strongest sustained 20-foot winds will generally be
across portions of Cochise County, where wind speeds will be in the
15-20 mph range, with some gusts to around 30 mph for a couple of
hours during the mid to late afternoon hours.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

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