Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
Versions:
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475 FNUS71 KAKQ 302352 FWSAKQ Spot Forecast for Skinny RX Burn...Maryland Forest Service National Weather Service Wakefield VA 752 PM EDT Thu May 30 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 2000 EDT on May 30. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service at 757-899-5734. .DISCUSSION... Light winds out of the northwest are expected tonight. A north wind of 5 to 10 mph is expected on Friday under sunny skies. RH values are expected to drop to between 30 and 35 percent by the afternoon. RH values will drop to 30-35 percent again on Saturday with lighter winds. .REST OF TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Min temperature.....Around 52. Max humidity........77 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 9 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1600 knot-ft). LVORI...............3. ADI.................2 to 4. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........17 14 11 8 8 7 7 5 4 2 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............67 64 62 60 60 59 58 57 55 54 RH..............50 56 62 67 64 67 67 67 72 71 20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N 20 FT wind spd..5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 20 FT wind gust.8 7 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N Transp wind spd.9 8 7 6 5 5 5 6 7 8 LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI.............4 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 4 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 75. Min humidity........33 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 8 mph. Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 10 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5400 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (68700 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............3. ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 84 in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........2 1 1 2 3 4 12 20 27 28 28 28 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............53 55 57 60 64 67 70 71 73 73 75 74 RH..............77 74 72 62 52 45 39 38 35 35 33 34 20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 7 7 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 20 FT wind gust.8 9 11 12 13 14 14 13 13 11 11 9 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.9 1.1 2.5 3.9 5.2 5.9 6.5 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.3 Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N N N NW NW Transp wind spd.10 12 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 LVORI...........4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............4 13 19 40 57 69 74 80 84 82 78 79 Haines index....4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 9 12 28 41 52 58 63 69 66 62 57 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR GD GD GD GD FR .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Min temperature.....Around 52. Max humidity........89 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Mixing height.......300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 9 mph shifting to the west 5 to 6 mph late in the evening. Smoke dispersal.....Good (34500 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (1300 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............4. ADI.................50 early in the evening decreasing to 2 late in the night. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........21 8 4 2 2 2 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............72 67 61 58 56 55 RH..............38 49 62 69 74 77 20 ft wind......N 4 W 2 SW 2 SW 1 W 2 W 2 20 ft wind gust.7 5 3 3 3 3 Mix hgt (ft)....4300 500 400 300 300 300 Transport wind..NW 9 NW 6 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 4 ADI.............50 3 2 2 2 2 Haines index....4 5 5 5 5 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..35 3 2 1 1 1 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 81. Min humidity........33 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph late in the morning, then becoming light early in the afternoon becoming north around 5 mph late in the afternoon shifting to the southeast 5 to 6 mph. Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3600 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (46400 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............4. ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 66 in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM Sky (%).........2 3 10 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 Temp............53 67 78 RH..............89 56 36 20 FT wind......NW 2G3 NW 4G6 N 4G8 Mix hgt (ft)....500 3900 6300 Transport wind..W 8 NW 12 W 8 LVORI...........6 1 1 ADI.............4 56 61 Haines index....4 4 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 38 44 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR FAIR $$ Forecaster...IYER Requested by...Lance S Carroll Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2415382.0/AKQ .DELDT 05/30/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Lance.Carroll@maryland.gov