Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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434
FNUS71 KALY 200930
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for APB HECHT / HEE-HAW RX...Albany Pine Bush
National Weather Service Albany NY
530 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures climb through the 60s and 70s this morning with
afternoon highs in the low 80s under partly to mostly clear skies.
Light southeasterly winds expected today with maximum gusts of
around 10 mph. Minimum RH values drop to 40-45% this afternoon.
No precipitation expected today.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Dewpoint............56 increasing to 58 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming south around 5
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (19500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  18  16  22  27  33  30  26  23  24  26  27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............59  60  62  65  68  72  75  79  81  83  84  83
Dewpoint........54  54  55  56  57  58  58  58  59  58  58  58
RH..............83  81  78  73  68  61  55  49  47  43  41  43
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   3   3   2   2   3   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   8   7   6   6   6   7   7   7   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.6 3.5 4.4 5.0 5.4 5.4 4.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   7   7   6   5   3   3   3   3   5
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Haines index....2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   7   9   11  12  13  12  11  10  13  17  20
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Dewpoint............58.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (16600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............4.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........24  22  19  17  14  12  21  29  38  36  35  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............82  80  78  74  71  69  67  65  62  62  61  59
Dewpoint........58  59  60  60  60  60  59  59  58  57  57  57
RH..............44  49  54  63  69  73  77  80  87  85  87  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   9   12  13  13  13  13  12  10  10  9   9
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   6   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..17  12  8   7   7   7   6   6   5   4   4   4
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Dewpoint............59 increasing to 62 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (62900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  42  46  42  39  35  38  40  43  43  43  43
Weather cov.....                                            SCH
Weather type....                                            RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............61  62  64  69  74  79  82  84  86  87  88  87
Dewpoint........57  58  59  60  60  61  61  61  61  61  62  62
RH..............88  87  84  72  63  54  49  45  43  42  42  43
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   9   10  12  13  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.8 3.9 4.7 5.1 5.0 4.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   10  10  12  12  10  10  13  15  16
LVORI...........5   5   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   6   8   10  14  19  26  34  42  54  62  63
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD

$$
Forecaster...Main
Requested by...Tyler Briggs
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414705.0/ALY
.DELDT 05/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tbriggs@albanypinebush.org