Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Cheyenne, WY

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FNUS75 KCYS 241408
FWSCYS

Spot Forecast for Round 2 RX...Gering Fire Department
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
808 AM MDT Fri May 24 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service at (307) 772-2227

.DISCUSSION...

Sunday will be the most active day with chances for some afternoon
thunderstorms to develop around the fire area Main window for
thunderstorm activity will be between 2-6pm. Prior to
thunderstorm initiation on Sunday the area will see gusty
northwest winds sustained around 25 mph with gusts approaching 35
mph at times. Winds in and around thunderstorm cores could be
strong and erratic. There is also the additional threat for some
cloud-to- ground lightning strikes. Heading into Sunday night and
into Monday the weather conditions will improve with little to no
chances for thunderstorm activity and decreasing wind speeds. With
recent rains around the area, expecting the minimum relative
humidity to remain above 20 percent Monday afternoon.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................3 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1500, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 16 to 23 mph. Gusts up to 36
                    mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......12200 ft AGL increasing to 13400 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 29 to 38 mph decreasing to 18 to 23
                    mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (85000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (168200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (186400
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  25  26  27  28  29  28  28  27  28  29
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
Temp............52  55  58  62  66  70  71  72  73  72  71
RH..............59  55  49  43  36  30  28  26  24  25  26
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..16  17  17  20  21  23  23  23  22  21  20
20 FT wind gust.24  25  28  30  33  35  36  35  35  33  31
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 3.0 3.8 5.4 7.2 8.9 9.7 10  11  12  13
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.38  36  33  29  23  20  18  18  20  21  23
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100085  93  109 132 148 153 157 168 186 224 262

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 18 mph decreasing to 6 to
                    8 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 24 to 25 mph decreasing to around 14
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (230000 knot-ft) decreasing to fair
                    (54100 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing
                    to poor (11600 knot-ft) late in the night.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........30  27  23  20  17  13  10  9   8   7   6   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............70  66  63  59  56  53  51  49  48  46  44  43
RH..............26  32  38  45  53  61  68  74  77  83  86  89
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W
20 FT wind spd..18  15  13  10  8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.30  25  22  18  16  15  13  12  10  9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...13  11  7.3 4.2 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.4 1.8 1.3 1.1 0.9
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.24  24  25  24  24  23  21  20  17  16  15  14
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/1000276 230 157 90  66  59  54  40  27  18  14  12

.MEMORIAL DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    north around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......10700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph increasing to 20 to 21
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (77400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to very good (112500
                    knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to
                    excellent (191800 knot-ft) in the afternoon in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............44  48  53  60  65  69  72  74  76  77  78  78
RH..............82  71  61  47  40  33  30  27  25  24  22  22
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  12  13  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.1 1.8 2.7 4.0 5.5 7.0 8.7 10  11  10  9.0
Transp wind dir.NW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.14  9   10  12  14  16  18  20  21  21  21  20
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/10006   9   16  27  48  77  113 148 181 192 185 154

$$
Forecaster...Woodward
Requested by...Nathan Flowers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414948.1/CYS
.DELDT 05/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL firedept@gering.org