Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
379 FNUS28 KWNS 272155 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$