Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
628 FNUS21 KWNS 211637 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024 Valid 211700Z - 221200Z The forecast remains on track. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 05/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... An upper trough will progress eastward today traversing the Rockies, while a mid-level jet slowly exits the Desert Southwest and High Plains. The entrance region of this jet, however, will remain over NM and far eastern AZ for most of the day. Deep westerly to southwesterly flow is still expected across the aforementioned states, albeit slower/weaker than Monday. West to southwest surface winds around 15 to 20 mph will develop this afternoon across much of NM and AZ, and RH will drop into the low teens to single digits. Sustained wind speeds across northern NM may briefly exceed 20 mph, where momentum transfer through a deeply mixed boundary layer and a tighter pressure gradient will reside. A Critical area does not appear warranted at this time, though, considering the duration of the higher speeds and less receptive fuels across this region. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$