Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35
191
WUUS01 KWNS 270600
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2024

VALID TIME 271200Z - 281200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   37417561 36667596 35127650 34417704 33687836 32598019
       31898154 31618337 31138555 30928657 31038764 31508815
       32478777 33428641 34718394 35768174 36967996 38257879
       39467813 41867705 42197650 42157552 41867482 40807404
       39797434 37417561
0.02   32139983 33180024 33670071 33990064 34149943 33849752
       33449665 32859598 32029583 31199593 30819611 30039679
       29539733 29379792 29389875 29939934 30339933 31019934
       32139983
0.05   39207744 39317741 40067711 40997679 41597616 41467511
       40787460 40207462 39067528 38307566 36657628 35587671
       34937691 34597736 34517792 34667844 35057875 36487849
       38207792 38777762 39047751 39207744
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   45627392 44297318 42297286 41317248 40857216 40227164
       99999999 31117984 30808122 30738223 30268477 30328713
       29648990 29909343 29499516 28929667 27869772 27119805
       25959856 99999999 29000173 30030059 30680021 31779962
       33130021 34100119 35070199 35810231 36570181 36670119
       36430044 35879904 34949783 33939667 32539424 32159297
       32119085 32298960 33258828 35448570 36588414 38238226
       40268077 41788045 43208054
0.15   32237979 31818131 31308485 30988578 30948758 31418819
       32288775 32748737 33908530 34768365 35468209 35758175
       36528045 37017986 38357877 39127828 40737752 41767711
       42277695 42507611 41887493 40887414 39777387 39207374
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   43749556 44019442 43999295 41778828 41208793 40218785
       39708812 39538887 39479000 39769094 41119380 42189560
       43189596 43749556
0.05   29120153 30000064 31719962 33080014 34110120 35090202
       35870228 36480187 36600139 36540052 35829900 34869776
       33969667 33029511 32429402 32119281 32099091 32298960
       33218833 34718664 35638548 36818386 38258225 40028102
       41918048 43098059 99999999 45697398 44397354 43087304
       42097277 41047243 40527199 40237167 99999999 30978027
       30808113 30648264 30328478 30298698 29958849 29658998
       29779154 29879333 29479517 28909668 27909771 27159803
       25929857
0.15   45417556 44677475 43537434 42317418 40937362 39787289
       99999999 32197994 31828150 31608318 30938613 30948756
       31418818 32328787 33518613 34438439 35188294 35698174
       36308089 37017983 37767923 38987842 40037784 41297733
       42597700 43447704 44317748
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   45287542 44677475 43537434 42317418 40937362 40027304
       99999999 32197994 31818131 31448390 30938613 30948758
       31418819 32328787 32748737 33518613 34438439 35188294
       35628190 37017986 37897914 38987842 40197778 41297733
       42597700 43447704 44097737
MRGL   30888072 30588304 30268477 30298698 29648990 29879333
       29479517 28909668 27869772 25929857 99999999 29190152
       30000064 31729965 33150023 34110120 35090202 35810231
       36570181 36670119 36540052 35879904 33969667 32529420
       32159297 32119085 32298960 33238831 35638548 36738397
       38258225 40028102 41918048 42868057 99999999 45487384
       44297318 42607291 41317248 40397178 99999999 43749556
       44019442 43999295 41778828 41208793 40218785 39708812
       39538887 39479000 39769094 41149382 42189560 43189596
       43749556
TSTM   49849714 49329629 47349183 46358833 46568744 48528568
       99999999 47217071 45966928 45416815 45106738 44926636
       99999999 29668078 29218161 26448306 99999999 25727940
       25038098 26058164 27478081 28538100 29667997 99999999
       34559077 35029181 35239381 35309518 35049556 34359522
       33669359 33259249 33199166 33509032 33979012 34559077
       99999999 28469475 27999697 27309734 26069761 24919828
       99999999 29240234 30510093 31640061 32810121 33930220
       34270266 35830402 36730454 37110588 37230704 37590730
       38150739 39800444 39289935 38749559 39429457 40809476
       43079888 44470148 45900371 47360563 48290695 48610732
       50000844 99999999 38612029 39192085 39362168 39222224
       39422281 40632350 42402290 44082245 46052058 46991974
       47651899 48091745 47771675 47151642 46111676 45261736
       42831891 40931930 39351863 38131817 37061811 36681904
       38022012 38612029

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW
MSS 20 SSE MSS 40 WNW GFL 35 SSW ALB 20 NNE JFK 55 S ISP ...CONT...
50 S CHS 25 SSW SAV 20 ESE ABY 25 ENE CEW 40 NW PNS 50 N MOB 50 E
MEI 35 NW SEM 15 WSW ANB 45 E RMG 30 SW AVL 30 WSW HKY 20 SSE ROA 30
SSW SHD 35 SW MRB 30 ESE AOO 20 W IPT 30 WNW ITH 40 NE ROC 65 W ART.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE
SSI 20 SE VLD 25 WSW TLH 15 SE PNS 35 SE MSY 20 SSW LCH 15 SSE HOU
15 ENE VCT 15 WNW CRP 30 SW MFE ...CONT... 40 WSW DRT 45 NNE DRT 40
W BWD 60 NNW ABI 30 E PVW 20 WSW AMA 20 SE DHT 20 WSW GUY 15 E GUY
45 SE LBL 40 NNE CSM 15 W DUA 20 WNW SHV 30 NNE IER 45 NE HEZ 50 W
MEI 30 SSE CBM 30 SW CSV 25 SSE LOZ 20 ESE HTS 20 WSW HLG 20 SW ERI
55 NNW ERI ...CONT... 60 NE MSS 15 S BTV 25 ENE PSF 20 W GON 55 S
BID ...CONT... OTG 25 N FRM 25 WNW RST 35 NE MMO 40 ESE MMO 15 W DNV
20 NNE MTO 20 S DEC 30 SSW SPI 20 SE UIN 30 SSW DSM 20 NW DNS 40 SSW
OTG OTG.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 N HCO 40 NW ROX 20
WNW BFW 40 NNW IMT MQT 155 NNW ANJ ...CONT... 130 WNW CAR 70 W HUL
50 SSW HUL 20 NW EPM 30 E EPM ...CONT... 35 NNE DAB 35 W DAB 75 SSW
SRQ ...CONT... 55 E MIA 20 NNE MTH 10 SE APF 25 WSW VRB 20 E ORL 75
ENE DAB ...CONT... 55 SW MEM 30 NE LIT 30 ESE FSM 25 SSE MKO 15 NE
MLC 50 SE MLC 30 ENE TXK 20 E ELD 30 S LLQ 15 W GWO 35 N GWO 55 SW
MEM ...CONT... 60 S GLS 35 ENE CRP 35 SSE CRP 15 NW BRO 90 S MFE
...CONT... 55 S 6R6 65 SSW SJT 20 NNW SJT 45 NNE BGS 30 NW LBB 40 E
CVS 50 NNW TCC RTN 20 S ALS 40 E DRO 40 NE DRO 35 SW GUC 25 E DEN 25
ESE HLC 25 S TOP 20 ENE FLV 35 E SDA 45 NNW ONL 30 NNE PHP 25 NNW
2WX 40 WNW GDV 15 WNW GGW 40 NW GGW 115 NNE HVR ...CONT... 25 SW TVL
50 WNW TVL 60 N SAC 50 E UKI 30 NE UKI 35 ESE EKA MFR 40 E EUG 35 S
YKM 25 SSW EPH 35 NE EPH 30 N GEG 40 ENE GEG 45 NE PUW 20 SE LWS 35
NE BKE 55 S BNO 70 NNW LOL 10 SSE NFL 55 NNE BIH 25 SE BIH 40 E FAT
55 NNE MER 25 SW TVL.