Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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625
FNUS22 KWNS 160622
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0122 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

...Synopsis...
A pronounced mid-level trough will eject into the northern Plains
today, supporting strong surface lee troughing over the northern
High Plains tomorrow (Friday). A widespread, strong surface wind
field will develop over Wyoming and points eastward as a result.
However, guidance varies considerably in terms of how low RH will
drop by afternoon peak heating, with some guidance members showing
RH dropping as low as 15 percent in some spots, while other members
show RH staying well above 25 percent in many locales. When also
considering recent rainfall that portions of the northern Plains has
received in the past week, fuel receptiveness to wildfire spread
should also be mediocre. Fire weather highlights have been withheld
given the aforementioned uncertainties with RH and fuels.
Nonetheless, localized instances of wildfire growth cannot be ruled
out where dry fuel beds exist given the strong winds.

..Squitieri.. 05/16/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$