Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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052
WUUS02 KWNS 201759
PTSDY2

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2024

VALID TIME 211200Z - 221200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... TORNADO ...

0.02   39639675 43459600 45069578 45809533 46269457 46429216
       46238892 45798685 44578529 44278529 43408529 42388562
       41048659 39468827 38159022 36859216 36279322 35669439
       35189579 35199666 35909741 38489645 39639675
0.05   42249551 43599485 44809319 45359127 45198943 44748817
       43878765 42868743 42078769 40278906 39658973 38389153
       38149217 38029350 38159478 38459534 39029572 40259584
       41669564 42249551
0.10   43278921 42598893 42088900 41518922 40759000 40349125
       39939260 39829325 39979405 40259449 40699484 41309496
       41849482 42449443 43489279 43909139 43839013 43278921
SIGN   43929129 43779014 43278925 42538895 41618917 40719006
       40359121 39869291 39839336 40009401 40279445 40639477
       41009486 41279493 41819474 42419440 43469276 43929129
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   45889395 46609083 46108746 45148564 43728499 42008512
       41008567 38168939 35989208 33069509 30159950 30380050
       31500043 32260021 33559986 34669955 36359839 38249808
       39629815 39749913 39939975 40320000 40930000 43599730
       45149519 45889395
0.05   46076725 45346826 44716937 43617162 43457274 43407409
       43557495 43867535 44447519 45327466
0.15   44749453 45539133 45298830 44408643 43088616 41438681
       39738860 38309027 37139178 35769415 34939560 34679640
       34759703 35329784 36089789 37679714 38909693 39749723
       40019782 40139866 40629886 41449869 42789734 44669474
       44749453
0.30   39519545 40259597 40859638 41669629 42579549 43109287
       43189173 43139029 42748959 42178941 41468969 40609037
       39309174 38019332 37799398 37969486 39519545
SIGN   40899737 41719702 42229628 42499475 41589269 40469256
       39559372 39379454 39549510 39919555 40009665 40219714
       40899737
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   42688141 41888223 38148869 34869317 33729452 33319508
       32219721 31289896 31319980 31600013 31760027 32400022
       34669953 35029912 36129825 39739784 41859846 42879759
       44509600 46299375 47399213 49078929
0.05   46066719 45296829 43717134 43397289 43387408 43587493
       43857531 44467514 45437459
0.15   46559057 46828876 46588686 45958514 45468402 44438323
       43548325 42858361 41138575 39498830 37189165 34959533
       34679634 34759700 35299784 36049789 37139673 37919616
       38919602 39349629 40319680 41159711 42489641 43849533
       44709429 46309122 46559057
0.30   40848877 39928987 39509035 38719138 38109282 37779413
       37969490 39339550 40669593 42049569 43259478 44369324
       44649238 44979048 44898915 43968776 43548760 42998757
       41578810 40848877
0.45   41489388 42069086 42068984 41558940 41268943 40739010
       40429075 40379126 40529206 40619345 40899400 41489388
SIGN   43969237 43889074 43428959 42758913 41948905 41238922
       40199064 39489149 39709289 40929497 41979520 42639510
       43309471 43969237
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... CATEGORICAL ...

MDT    41489388 42069087 42068984 41538938 41258945 40788999
       40459065 40379128 40529205 40599301 40619342 40879399
       41489388
ENH    41669629 42049601 42389565 43259478 44369324 44649238
       44979048 44898915 43968776 43548760 42998757 41578810
       40848877 38719138 38109282 37779413 37969490 39809565
       40859638 41669629
SLGT   41449869 42789734 44669474 45109388 46309122 46559057
       46828876 46588686 45468402 44438323 43548325 42858361
       41138575 39498830 37189165 34959533 34679634 34759703
       35299784 36089789 37679714 38909693 39749723 40019782
       40139866 40629886 41449869
MRGL   42688141 41888223 38148869 34869317 33069509 30159950
       30380050 31500043 34669955 36359839 38249808 39629815
       39749913 39939975 40320000 40930000 43599730 44339646
       45099586 45779533 46179466 46329370 47399213 48569014
MRGL   46066719 45296829 43717134 43397289 43387408 43557495
       43867535 44447519 45327466
TSTM   28558339 29688248 30818093 30968053
TSTM   28720291 30600277 33920017 36399941 37399932 38009971
       38230080 38170160 37970234 37360420 36960769 37320844
       38210907 39170944 39371038 39421126 40081232 40911285
       42931272 43951232 44781281 45711292 46941207 47491085
       47420948 45570685 44680330 43730199 43400058 43929896
       45519789 46979563 48169308 48899133
TSTM   43166887 41637317 40687560 39177823 36968010 35378184
       34638315 34988390 35798388 37048254 37838188 38798188
       39358290 39148398 38858481 36298956 32779486 31239755
       29769892 27450023

&&
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW
DSM 25 SSW DBQ 40 WSW RFD 40 WNW MMO 40 WSW MMO 20 WNW PIA 35 SE BRL
30 N UIN 40 NE IRK 40 NW IRK 25 E LWD 20 N LWD 10 WSW DSM.

THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW
TQE 20 NNE TQE 25 SW SLB 20 ENE SPW 35 ENE MKT 45 ESE MSP 40 W AUW
25 E AUW 10 SSW MTW 40 S MTW 15 E MKE 35 ENE MMO 25 NNE BMI 40 E JEF
45 WNW TBN 45 NNE JLN 35 ENE CNU 20 S FNB 20 E LNK 10 SW TQE.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE
BUB 10 SSE YKN 20 ENE RWF 30 SSE STC 20 SW ASX 15 E ASX 30 SSW CMX
35 E MQT 35 NW APN 10 E OSC 20 SW BAX 10 SE FNT 30 WNW FWA MTO 30
NNE UNO 25 E MLC 35 WSW MLC 30 N ADM 15 NNE CHK 20 S END 15 E ICT 20
SW MHK 25 ENE CNK 35 NNW CNK 35 SSW HSI 10 SE EAR 35 SE BUB.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 E
MTC 40 NNW CLE 15 SE MVN 25 N HOT 45 SSE PRX 30 SSE JCT 45 WSW JCT
10 NNE SJT 15 W LTS 25 W END 15 NW HUT 25 WNW CNK 45 NE HLC 40 N HLC
30 ENE MCK 40 ESE LBF 30 W FSD 20 E BKX 30 ESE VVV 10 SSE AXN 30 WSW
BRD 20 ESE BRD 35 E HIB 55 N GNA.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E
HUL 45 NE BGR 10 NNE LCI 10 SSE RUT 25 W GFL 35 NE UCA 35 ESE ART 40
SSW MSS 30 NNE MSS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NW PIE 15 W GNV 40
SE SSI 55 ESE SSI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SSW 6R6 25 SSE
FST 35 S CDS 50 WSW AVK 40 W P28 20 NE DDC 20 NNW GCK 50 WNW GCK 20
ESE LAA 10 NE TAD 15 SSE DRO 10 ENE CEZ 50 NNE 4BL 30 NNE CNY 25 SE
PUC 30 WSW PUC 35 ESE DPG 45 WNW SLC PIH 30 NNW IDA 30 WNW MQM 25 SW
BTM 25 N HLN 25 E GTF 25 N LWT 55 N SHR 45 NNW RAP 30 SW PHP 40 N
VTN 20 ENE 9V9 25 E ABR 15 NE DTL 30 SSE INL 75 NNE ELO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 ESE PWM 30 N BDR
10 WNW ABE 20 SW MRB 25 SSW ROA 30 NNE SPA 25 WNW AND 60 S TYS TYS
40 N TRI 40 SSW CRW 35 NNW CRW 35 WNW UNI 25 E LUK 25 SW LUK 20 NNW
DYR 30 NNW GGG 10 NW TPL 30 WNW SAT 45 W LRD.