050
FNUS75 KFGZ 212219
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for LDR 1...Camp Navajo Fire Dept
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
319 PM MST Tue May 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 MST on May 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Dry and warm conditions will continue through the
rest of the week. Smoke and haze from nearby prescribed burns may
settle into the lower lying areas overnight. Expect southwest winds
10-20 mph with gusts of 20-30 mph in the afternoons, becoming light
overnight. Minimum RH values in the 10-20 percent range during the
afternoon, with good overnight recoveries.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Haze.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....67 to 69.
Min humidity........10 to 15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 10 to 15 mph with gusts
                    to 20 mph this afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1644.
Mixing height.......10600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear. Haze and patchy smoke.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....22 to 24.
Max humidity........70 to 80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots shifting to the
                    southeast in the late evening and overnight,
                    then shifting to the east after 3 am.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....68 to 70.
Min humidity........15 to 20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts of 25
                    to 30 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......2161.
Mixing height.......11700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots increasing to around
                    20 knots late in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...MEOLA
Requested by...Tim Irwin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414854.0/FGZ
.DELDT 05/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL timothy.irwin@azdema.gov