Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
213 FNUS53 KGRR 221840 FWFGRR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 240 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024 ...Drier Weather on Thursday... .DISCUSSION... Relative humidity will decrease on Thursday afternoon as drier air mixes down from above. Rain and higher humidity will arrive on Friday. MIZ037>039-043>045-230815- Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta- Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart, Fremont, and Big Rapids 240 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....47-52. 24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler. Max humidity........85-90 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1600-2100 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....70-500 (poor to good). Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Max temperature.....72-77. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Min humidity........23-28 percent. 24 hr trend......29 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 7200-7700 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1450-1610 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....46-51. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........81-86 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South winds up to 5 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1200-1700 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....30-160 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon. Max temperature.....78-83. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Min humidity........33-38 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 6100-6600 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1130-1440 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.20 in. $$ MIZ040-046-230815- Clare-Isabella- Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant 240 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....Around 50. 24 hr trend......19 degrees cooler. Max humidity........84-89 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the evening. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....780 (excellent) decreasing to 60 (poor) overnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Max temperature.....Around 77. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........22-27 percent. 24 hr trend......29 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......8100-8600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1600-1790 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....46-51. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Max humidity........81-86 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West winds up to 5 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....40-160 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) until 5 PM, then partly sunny (50-60 percent). Max temperature.....Around 79. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........36-41 percent. 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 8 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5800-6300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....920-1320 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.12 in. $$ MIZ050-056-064-071-230815- Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren- Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland, and South Haven 240 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....51-56. 24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler. Max humidity........91-96 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West winds around 7 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1600-2100 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....60-300 (poor to good). Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Max temperature.....75-80. 24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer. Min humidity........33-38 percent near Lake Michigan and 24-29 percent Inland. 24 hr trend......23 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 25 percent drier Inland. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 6700-7200 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1020-1090 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....52-57. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Max humidity........75-80 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds up to 5 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....40-70 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the afternoon. Max temperature.....80-85. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Min humidity........38-43 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 5400-5900 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1070-1210 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.22 in. $$ MIZ051-052-057>059-230815- Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton- Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia, and St. Johns 240 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....49-54. 24 hr trend......22 degrees cooler. Max humidity........85-90 percent. 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....910 (excellent) decreasing to 50 (poor) overnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Max temperature.....Around 77. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........25-30 percent. 24 hr trend......21 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......7800-8300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1470-1660 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....Around 52. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Max humidity........81-86 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the south overnight. Smoke dispersal.....30-80 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) until 5 PM, then partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon. Max temperature.....80-85. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........30-35 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6100-6600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1060-1320 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.21 in. $$ MIZ065>067-072>074-230815- Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson- Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo, Battle Creek, and Jackson 240 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Min temperature.....Around 53. 24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler. Max humidity........81-86 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West winds around 8 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....50-550 (poor to good). Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Max temperature.....Around 79. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Min humidity........24-29 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......7500-8000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1130-1220 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....Around 53. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........78-83 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the south overnight. Smoke dispersal.....40-60 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) until 5 PM, then partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon. Max temperature.....Around 83. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........32-37 percent. 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6100-6600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1060-1270 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in. $$ .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms. Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms until midday. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 6 to 11 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. West winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the east 5 to 7 mph overnight. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely overnight. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest 7 to 12 mph in the afternoon. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 50. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. $$