521
FXUS61 KGYX 021403 CCA
AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Gray ME
1003 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will continue to be nearby the next several days
with temperatures remaining above seasonal norms and winds
diminishing. Seabreezes expected on Monday. High pressure will
remain overhead early next week...with an increasing marine
influence causing temperatures to fall closer to normal for
early June. The next chance for widespread rainfall does not
arrive until about Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...

940 AM Update...The forecast remains in good shape with only
the need to match up the temp/dewpoint forecast with current
observations.

615 AM Update...Little change to the going forecast for this
morning other than to add patchy fog to some low lying areas
through about 12z.

Previously...

High pressure ridging overhead today will aid in another warm
day today, probably the warmest of the next several days as
temperatures rise well into the upper 70s to mid 80s depending
on location. In addition, the seabreeze doesn`t look to be as
strong today with a lee side trough setting up on the coastal
plain keeping strong enough opposing flow going late into the
day. The skies won`t be totally sunny today with a few BKN
periods possible but dry weather continues to be expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Outside of some high cloudiness...a mostly clear and calm night
is expected. Dewpoints will be higher which will yield lows
another step higher than previous nights, likely reaching the
mid 40s in the coolest northern valleys...but 50s elsewhere.

Another nice day on Monday but not as warm. A trough swinging
southward through the Maritimes will aid in SFC high pressure
strengthening in the Gulf of Maine which will portend to an
easterly low level flow. Therefore we expected temperatures to
cool off faster in the afternoon on the coastal plain.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
No significant changes to the long term to what has been advertised
the past few days. An upper level ridge to our west will shield the
area from any significant precipitation through late next week
before a cold front and an upper level low push east by next
weekend.

In the dailies: Low pressure east of Nova Scotia will pivot a
trough around it. This will halt the northward movement of the
warm front and by Tuesday result in a more NE flow. The NE flow
on Tuesday will cool temperatures some, especially along
coastal areas as well as the higher elevations of the interior.
Wednesday into Thursday the upper level ridge will move over the
area. This will continue mainly dry weather with seasonable
temperatures. Thursday Afternoon through Friday the ridge moves
east of the area at which point scattered showers will start to
develop...mainly over NH at first then moving east into Maine.
By Saturday the cutoff low that has been slowly drifting east
from southern Canada will get close enough to place the region
under a cyclonic flow aloft which should enhance the shower
potential as we head into next weekend.

Included patchy marine fog along the midcoast Monday Night and
Tuesday Night. Added patchy fog over land late each night
Wednesday Night through Friday Night as the airmass moistens and
showers start to develop.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Short Term...West-Southwest winds 5-10kts for the day today with
sea-breezes again developing at the immediate coast. VFR
expected.

Long Term...

Generally Expect VFR to MVFR throughout the Tue-Wed period.
Areas of IFR possible beyond the long term aviation portion of
the forecast as we head into Thursday and Friday.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...Onshore flow developing with seabreeze this
afternoon and Monday afternoon. Otherwise, winds and seas remain
below SCA thresholds.

Long Term...Wind and waves to remain below SCA conditions
through the extended forecast period. Patchy fog mainly at night
starting Monday Night.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     MEZ023>028.
NH...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NHZ014.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$


NEAR TERM...Combs/Ekster
SHORT TERM...Ekster
LONG TERM...Lulofs