Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana
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215 FXUS63 KIWX 061009 AFDIWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 609 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - High waves and rip currents are expected at Berrien county beaches today and Friday. - Breezy today with westerly wind gusts of 30 mph. - Below normal temperatures through the weekend followed by a warming trend for the middle of next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 246 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024 Notably cooler and less humid early this morning in the wake yesterday`s late-day cold front. Showers are ongoing across central Michigan, on the nose of a screaming 90 knot jet at 500mb, attempting to extend southwest through central Illinois. However, water vapor depicts very little moisture transport thus the radar returns over Illinois are poor. Therefore, I have notably reduced the extend of POPs early this morning. Breezy but dry this afternoon with highs on either side of 75. An increasing pressure gradient as high pressure becomes established over the Central Plains, paired with well-mixed forecast soundings, will permit westerly wind gusts of 30 mph. As a result, high waves and rip currents are anticipated at eastern Lake Michigan beaches. Breezy on Friday as well with slightly cooler temperatures, thanks to continued cold air advection aloft. An upper-level low lingers over the eastern Great Lakes through the weekend. The next chance of rain showers is late Saturday afternoon and again on Sunday as strong impulses ripple through cyclonic flow aloft. This low is perhaps kicked eastward by Tuesday as a dominant Southwest-US ridge (various heat headlines currently in effect there) drifts into the Midwest allowing our temperatures to warm closer to normal (near 80). && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 609 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024 VFR through the period with the only aviation concern being breezy west-northwest winds that will frequently gust up to near 25 knots late this morning and afternoon behind a secondary sfc trough. && .IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...None. OH...None. MI...Beach Hazards Statement from 11 AM EDT this morning through Friday afternoon for MIZ177-277. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 2 PM EDT Friday for LMZ043-046. && $$ DISCUSSION...Brown AVIATION...Steinwedel