970
FXUS64 KMAF 050523
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1223 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday night)
Issued at 127 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

Many places are well into the 90s and low 100s this afternoon and
will "only" cool down into the low to mid 70s tonight. A small bit
of relief is on the way for the Permian Basin across to near the
Pecos River Valley as a weak front moves through the area tonight.
Northeasterly flow behind the front will knock temperatures down a
couple to a few degrees. However, the Rio Grande Valley will still
reach well into the 100s and another heat advisory will likely be
needed across the Big Bend. The weakness of the ridge may allow
for a shower or two to develop over the higher terrain to the
west, but amounts will be low overall. Lows remain a few degrees
above normal heading into Wednesday night.

-Stickney

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 127 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

Mid and upper ridging will be in full control of our overall weather
late this week. This will keep temperatures hot with most locations
in the 100s each afternoon through Saturday. It is likely more heat
products will be needed for areas south and west of the Pecos River.
While slightly cooler (mid 90s) in higher terrain, temperatures are
still well above normal. Even with the heat, moisture levels will be
on the increase late week and upslope flow will allow for scattered
showers and storms in the mountains and adjacent plains. QPF looks
light and lightning could allow for new fire starts given the very
dry fuels in this area.

Models indicate the upper ridge possibly breaking down early next
week and NW flow developing aloft across the area. While confidence
is low right now we could be looking at cooler temperatures and
more widespread rain chances sometime next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1221 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024

VFR conditions continue. A cold front is bringing a northerly wind
shift to area terminals. This front is expected to clear most
terminals within the next few hours and the remainder later this
morning. Winds will gradually become more easterly later this
afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               70 102  73 102 /   0  10   0   0
Carlsbad                 71 103  74 102 /  10  10  10  20
Dryden                   75 102  76 101 /   0  10  10  10
Fort Stockton            74 102  75 102 /   0  20  10  10
Guadalupe Pass           71  95  73  93 /  10  20  20  30
Hobbs                    66 101  71  99 /  10  10  10  10
Marfa                    61  96  62  96 /  10  40  20  30
Midland Intl Airport     71 101  74 100 /   0  10   0   0
Odessa                   72 102  75 101 /   0  10   0  10
Wink                     73 105  76 104 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...91