666
FNUS74 KMOB 261801
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Range 41 SE...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
101 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 CDT on May 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH (75+) DISPERSION INDICES EXPECTED TODAY OVER INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions are expected today at the burn site, though RH
values will remain above critical thresholds. Transport winds will
remain from the south at around 10 to 15 mph this afternoon.
Additionally, high mixing heights will combine with these
transport winds to lead to good dispersion conditions. A cold
front will approach the area from the northwest on Monday, with
isolated to scattered showers and storms during the late morning
through early afternoon. Outside of showers and thunderstorms,
good burn conditions are expected again on Monday, with RH values
and mixing heights well above critical thresholds.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 12 mph.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1463-1798 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 20 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 8 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....90 decreasing to 83 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............1.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........30     23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0
LAL.............1      1
Temp............91     91
RH..............50     52
20 FT wind dir..S      S
20 FT wind spd..13     14
20 FT wind gust.17     20
Mix hgt (ft)....5900   4800
Mix hgt (m).....1800   1460
Transp wind dir.S      S
Transp wind spd.18     18
Trans wind dir..S      S
Trans spd (m/s).8      8
Dispersion idx..94     83
LVORI...........1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1463 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 20 mph shifting to the southwest 8
                    to 10 mph after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....83 decreasing to 10.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........23     26     31     48     57     60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............88     81     77     76     75     74
RH..............59     74     87     90     94     97
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      SSW    SSW    SW
20 FT wind spd..14     12     10     9      7      6
20 FT wind gust.20     16     15     13     9      8
Mix hgt (ft)....4800   600    600    600    600    800
Mix hgt (m).....1460   180    180    180    180    240
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      SSW    SW     SSW
Transp wind spd.20     16     15     16     14     10
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      SSW    SW     SSW
Trans spd (m/s).9      7      7      7      6      4
Dispersion idx..83     11     10     11     9      7
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      7      7

.MEMORIAL DAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 2 until 1300, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-1463 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 4 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 56.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........57     52     45     33     31     31
Weather cov.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     20     20     30     30
LAL.............1      2      2      2      3      3
Temp............74     77     82     87     91     93
RH..............100    90     79     65     58     52
20 FT wind dir..SW     SW     SW     WSW    WSW    WSW
20 FT wind spd..6      6      7      8      8      7
20 FT wind gust.8      8      9      12     12     9
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1700   2800   3900   4600   4800
Mix hgt (m).....180    520    850    1190   1400   1460
Transp wind dir.SW     SW     W      W      W      W
Transp wind spd.9      10     12     10     8      8
Trans wind dir..SW     SW     W      W      W      W
Trans spd (m/s).4      4      5      4      4      4
Dispersion idx..6      25     39     46     49     56
LVORI...........8      4      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...73
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415107.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov