Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT

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627
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Spot Forecast for Border Raid 23
National Weather Service Missoula MT
728 AM MDT Thu May 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on May 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Windy conditions are expected this afternoon,
continuing overnight with breezy winds on Friday as well. Gusts of
30-40 mph are expected at ridgetops this afternoon, lower in
sheltered areas.

There is a chance of showers/isolated thunderstorms this afternoon
but the best chance of showers will be tonight into Friday. It
will also be cooler with higher min Rh on Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy. Chance of rain
  showers early in the afternoon. Chance of rain showers and
  slight chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent.
* Chance Lightning....20 percent.
* Max Temperature.....60-65.
* Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Variable 3- 5mph becoming southwest
  14-22 mph with gusts to around 35 mph increasing to around 25
  mph with gusts to around 40 mph late in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl increasing to 6500 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 20 mph increasing to west 35 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00-0.06 inches.

TIME (MDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  22  15  14  57  57  57  57  57  57
Weather cov.....                CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                RN  RN  RN  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20
Temp............52  54  56  57  59  60  61  61  61  62
RH..............61  58  55  54  51  50  48  46  46  47
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..4   5   10  16  16  17  20  22  25  25
20 FT wind gust.10  10  20  30  30  30  35  35  40  40
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.0 6.0 6.5 6.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.15  15  20  25  25  30  30  30  35  35

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
  slight chance of thunderstorms early in the evening, then chance
  of rain in the late evening and overnight.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...30 percent.
* Chance Lightning....20 percent.
* Min Temperature.....38-43.
* Max Humidity........69-74 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. West 17-25 mph with gusts to around
  40 mph decreasing to around 14 mph with gusts to around 25 mph
  overnight.
* Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl decreasing to less than 100 ft
  agl early in the evening.
* Mixing Winds........West 30 mph decreasing to 20 mph in the late
  evening and overnight.
* Precip Amount.......0.07-0.14 inches.


.FRIDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Rain and snow likely in the morning,
  then rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
  afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...50 percent.
* Chance Lightning....20 percent.
* Max Temperature.....45-50.
* Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 14-17 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph late
  in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl increasing to 4000 ft agl in the
  late morning and afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........West 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the
  afternoon.
* Precip Amount.......0.08-0.16 inches.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........82  82  82  82  82  88  93  93  93  93  93  93
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RN  RN  SN  RN  RN  RN  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............41  41  40  41  42  42  43  43  44  45  46  46
RH..............74  71  69  65  67  65  62  62  64  65  63  61
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..14  15  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  17  17  17
20 FT wind gust.20  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  30  30  30
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 1.0 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  15  20  20  25  20  20  20  20  25

$$
Forecaster...Booth
Requested by...Jason Conway
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414388.0/MSO
.DELDT 05/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jason.conway@usda.gov