Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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674
UXUS97 KPUB 261206
SRGPUB

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0606 MDT Sunday, May 26, 2024

This forecast is for Villa Grove, CO for Sunday, May 26, 2024:

If the trigger temperature of 48.2 F/9.0 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 1124 ft/min (5.7 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 21299 ft MSL (12327 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 65.0 F/18.8 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0930 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 17439 ft MSL (8468 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 05/27....... Excellent

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:44:14 / 20:17:13 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 32 min 58 sec (872 min 58 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:00:44 MDT... 73.04 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/26/2024 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 10144 ft MSL (1172 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18711 ft MSL (9739 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 19796 ft MSL (10825 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.7
K index......................... -16.9

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -54.3 -65.7   250   50   26   2.3   1.2      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -51.2 -60.2   255   64   33  -0.4  -0.2      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -51.9 -61.4   270   69   36  -0.4  -0.2      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -51.4 -60.5   275   68   35   1.4   0.8      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -50.5 -58.9   275   64   33   1.4   0.8      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -48.8 -55.8   275   61   31   6.3   3.5      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -44.9 -48.8   280   59   30   6.4   3.5      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -40.4 -40.7   280   55   28   7.1   3.9   23.5  74.3     4.0      M    M
 29000  -38.3 -36.9   280   51   26   7.1   3.9   22.4  72.3     3.2      M    M
 28000  -36.2 -33.2   280   48   25   7.1   3.9   21.5  70.7     2.5      M    M
 27000  -33.9 -29.0   280   46   23   9.1   5.0   20.7  69.3     2.0      M    M
 26000  -31.3 -24.3   280   45   23   8.9   4.9   20.3  68.6     1.6      M    M
 25000  -28.6 -19.5   285   45   23   8.9   4.9   20.0  68.1     1.4      M    M
 24000  -26.0 -14.8   285   45   23   8.4   4.6   19.8  67.6     1.2      M    M
 23000  -23.5 -10.3   285   44   23   8.2   4.5   19.2  66.5     0.7      M    M
 22000  -21.0  -5.8   290   43   22   8.2   4.5   18.7  65.6     0.3      M    M
 21000  -18.6  -1.5   290   42   21   7.2   4.0   18.1  64.6    -0.2   1098  5.6
 20000  -16.4   2.5   290   36   19   7.3   4.0   17.2  63.0    -1.0   1003  5.1
 19500  -15.3   4.5   290   34   17   7.3   4.0   16.8  62.3    -1.4    955  4.9
 19000  -14.2   6.4   290   31   16   7.3   4.0   16.4  61.6    -1.7    908  4.6
 18500  -13.1   8.4   290   29   15   7.3   4.0   16.1  60.9    -2.1    860  4.4
 18000  -12.1  10.2   290   29   15   7.2   4.0   15.6  60.2    -2.5    813  4.1
 17500  -11.0  12.2   295   30   15   7.1   3.9   15.2  59.4    -2.9    766  3.9
 17000  -10.0  14.0   295   31   16   5.8   3.2   14.7  58.4    -3.4    723  3.7
 16500   -9.1  15.6   295   32   16   5.9   3.3   14.0  57.3    -4.0    681  3.5
 16000   -8.3  17.1   295   33   17   5.5   3.0   13.4  56.1    -4.6    641  3.3
 15500   -7.5  18.5   300   34   17   5.5   3.0   12.7  54.8    -5.3    601  3.1
 15000   -6.2  20.8   300   34   17   6.0   3.3   11.7  53.1    -6.3    541  2.8
 14500   -5.3  22.5   300   31   16   4.6   2.5   11.1  52.0    -6.9    500  2.5
 14000   -4.7  23.5   300   28   15   6.0   3.3   10.2  50.4    -7.8    468  2.4
 13500   -3.8  25.2   300   29   15   6.7   3.7    9.7  49.5    -8.4    425  2.2
 13000   -3.0  26.6   300   31   16   5.1   2.8    9.1  48.4    -9.0    385  2.0
 12500   -2.2  28.0   305   35   18   5.6   3.1    8.4  47.2    -9.8    346  1.8
 12000   -1.3  29.7   305   40   21   5.6   3.0    7.8  46.1   -10.5    307  1.6
 11750   -1.0  30.2   305   41   21   3.6   2.0    7.4  45.4   -10.9    290  1.5
 11500   -0.9  30.4   305   41   21   2.8   1.5    6.9  44.4   -11.5    278  1.4
 11250   -0.7  30.7   305   42   21   3.4   1.9    6.4  43.5   -12.1    266  1.4
 11000   -0.6  30.9   300   41   21   0.8   0.4    5.9  42.5   -12.8    255  1.3
 10750   -0.7  30.7   300   38   19   1.5   0.8    5.1  41.2   -13.6    249  1.3
 10500   -0.4  31.3   295   34   18   5.0   2.8    4.7  40.4   -14.1    235  1.2
 10250   -0.1  31.8   295   31   16   4.9   2.7    4.3  39.7   -14.6    218  1.1
 10000    0.3  32.5   290   28   15   6.3   3.5    4.0  39.2   -15.0    199  1.0
  9750    0.8  33.4   285   26   13   6.9   3.8    3.8  38.8   -15.2    176  0.9
  9500    1.2  34.2   285   23   12   5.1   2.8    3.5  38.3   -15.6    156  0.8
  9250    1.5  34.7   280   19   10   1.2   0.7    3.0  37.4   -16.1    141  0.7
  9000    1.2  34.2   270   10    5  -8.6  -4.7    2.0  35.7   -17.1    141  0.7
  8750      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8000      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           05/26/2024 at 0900 MDT          |       05/26/2024 at 1200 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +1.6        | CAPE...    +2.3    LI...       +1.7
CINH...     0.0    K Index... -12.4        | CINH...   -16.8    K Index...  +0.5
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -54.6 -66.3  255  49 25   1.4   0.8 | -54.9 -66.8  255  47 24   1.2   0.7
 45000 -52.8 -63.0  260  66 34  -0.7  -0.4 | -53.5 -64.3  265  67 35  -0.9  -0.5
 40000 -53.8 -64.8  265  77 39  -0.6  -0.3 | -54.8 -66.6  275  71 36  -0.8  -0.4
 38000 -52.3 -62.1  270  74 38   3.7   2.0 | -53.3 -63.9  280  66 34   3.7   2.0
 36000 -50.1 -58.2  270  70 36   3.7   2.0 | -51.1 -60.0  285  60 31   3.7   2.0
 34000 -47.7 -53.9  270  64 33   4.9   2.7 | -48.2 -54.8  290  55 28   7.0   3.9
 32000 -44.4 -47.9  270  55 28   4.9   2.7 | -43.4 -46.1  295  51 26   7.0   3.9
 30000 -40.7 -41.3  275  49 25   7.7   4.2 | -39.4 -38.9  295  48 24   6.4   3.5
 29000 -38.5 -37.3  275  47 24   7.6   4.2 | -37.5 -35.5  295  46 24   6.4   3.5
 28000 -36.2 -33.2  275  45 23   7.7   4.2 | -35.6 -32.1  290  45 23   6.4   3.5
 27000 -33.8 -28.8  280  43 22   8.3   4.6 | -33.5 -28.3  290  44 23   8.0   4.4
 26000 -31.3 -24.3  280  42 21   8.3   4.5 | -31.1 -24.0  290  44 23   7.9   4.3
 25000 -28.8 -19.8  280  40 21   8.3   4.5 | -28.8 -19.8  290  43 22   7.9   4.3
 24000 -26.3 -15.3  280  39 20   8.5   4.7 | -26.4 -15.5  290  43 22   8.5   4.7
 23000 -23.8 -10.8  285  38 20   8.5   4.7 | -23.8 -10.8  290  41 21   8.5   4.7
 22000 -21.2  -6.2  285  38 20   8.5   4.7 | -21.3  -6.3  290  39 20   8.5   4.7
 21000 -18.7  -1.7  290  37 19   8.1   4.5 | -18.8  -1.8  290  38 20   7.7   4.2
 20000 -16.2   2.8  290  37 19   8.2   4.5 | -16.5   2.3  295  37 19   7.8   4.3
 19500 -15.0   5.0  290  37 19   8.2   4.5 | -15.3   4.5  295  36 19   7.8   4.3
 19000 -13.8   7.2  295  36 19   8.2   4.5 | -14.2   6.4  295  35 18   7.7   4.2
 18500 -12.6   9.3  295  36 19   8.0   4.4 | -12.9   8.8  295  34 17   8.8   4.8
 18000 -11.4  11.5  295  36 19   8.0   4.4 | -11.6  11.1  295  31 16   8.7   4.8
 17500 -10.2  13.6  295  36 19   7.8   4.3 | -10.3  13.5  295  29 15   7.7   4.2
 17000  -9.1  15.6  295  36 19   7.3   4.0 |  -9.3  15.3  295  28 15   6.5   3.5
 16500  -8.0  17.6  300  36 19   7.4   4.1 |  -7.9  17.8  295  28 14   6.1   3.3
 16000  -6.9  19.6  300  36 18   6.6   3.6 |  -7.0  19.4  300  31 16   5.9   3.2
 15500  -5.9  21.4  300  36 19   6.7   3.7 |  -6.2  20.8  300  34 17   5.4   3.0
 15000  -4.7  23.5  300  37 19   3.8   2.1 |  -5.6  21.9  300  33 17   3.3   1.8
 14500  -4.1  24.6  300  39 20   3.4   1.9 |  -5.2  22.6  300  32 17   2.3   1.3
 14000  -3.8  25.2  295  39 20   1.5   0.8 |  -4.6  23.7  300  29 15   6.6   3.6
 13500  -3.6  25.5  295  37 19   1.6   0.9 |  -3.8  25.2  295  24 12   5.7   3.1
 13000  -3.4  25.9  295  35 18   3.5   1.9 |  -2.7  27.1  290  21 11  10.5   5.8
 12500  -2.8  27.0  295  30 16   4.1   2.3 |  -1.3  29.7  290  20 11   9.5   5.2
 12000  -2.3  27.9  300  26 13   4.3   2.3 |   0.1  32.2  290  20 10   9.8   5.4
 11750  -2.0  28.4  295  23 12   5.9   3.2 |   0.9  33.6  290  20 10  10.4   5.7
 11500  -1.6  29.1  295  21 11   6.3   3.4 |   1.7  35.1  290  19 10  10.5   5.8
 11250  -1.2  29.8  290  20 10   6.7   3.7 |   2.4  36.3  290  19 10  10.3   5.6
 11000  -0.7  30.7  290  18  9   8.7   4.8 |   3.2  37.8  290  19 10   9.6   5.3
 10750   0.0  32.0  290  17  9   9.9   5.4 |   3.9  39.0  290  19 10  10.0   5.5
 10500   0.7  33.3  290  17  9   9.8   5.4 |   4.7  40.5  290  18  9  10.3   5.7
 10250   1.5  34.7  290  16  8  10.2   5.6 |   5.5  41.9  290  18  9  10.8   5.9
 10000   2.3  36.1  290  15  8  11.1   6.1 |   6.3  43.3  290  18  9  11.6   6.3
  9750   3.1  37.6  290  15  8  11.7   6.4 |   7.2  45.0  290  17  9  12.3   6.8
  9500   4.0  39.2  290  14  7  10.8   5.9 |   8.1  46.6  290  16  8  11.0   6.0
  9250   4.9  40.8  285  13  7  15.8   8.7 |   9.0  48.2  290  15  8  19.2  10.6
  9000   7.2  45.0  285  11  6  56.0  30.7 |  12.4  54.3  290  14  7  87.5  48.0
  8750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           05/26/2024 at 1500 MDT          |       05/26/2024 at 1800 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...   +53.5    LI...       +0.1        | CAPE...    +6.9    LI...       +0.6
CINH...    -4.1    K Index...  +5.4        | CINH...    -3.0    K Index...  -3.1
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -55.5 -67.9  260  54 28   1.0   0.6 | -56.5 -69.7  265  55 28   0.7   0.4
 45000 -54.4 -65.9  270  66 34  -1.4  -0.8 | -55.7 -68.3  270  60 31  -0.8  -0.5
 40000 -56.6 -69.9  275  62 32  -1.4  -0.8 | -57.0 -70.6  275  57 29  -1.0  -0.5
 38000 -54.7 -66.5  285  55 29   4.5   2.5 | -54.6 -66.3  280  51 26   4.7   2.6
 36000 -52.0 -61.6  295  49 25   4.5   2.5 | -51.8 -61.2  280  45 23   4.7   2.6
 34000 -47.8 -54.0  300  45 23   7.9   4.3 | -47.8 -54.0  285  42 22   8.4   4.6
 32000 -43.1 -45.6  300  42 22   7.9   4.3 | -42.8 -45.0  290  42 22   8.4   4.6
 30000 -38.1 -36.6  305  42 22   8.6   4.7 | -37.9 -36.2  290  43 22   8.1   4.5
 29000 -35.5 -31.9  305  43 22   8.6   4.7 | -35.5 -31.9  290  43 22   8.1   4.5
 28000 -32.9 -27.2  310  44 23   8.5   4.7 | -32.4 -26.3  290  43 22   8.2   4.5
 27000 -30.6 -23.1  310  45 23   6.8   3.7 | -30.0 -22.0  295  41 21   7.9   4.3
 26000 -28.6 -19.5  310  44 23   6.7   3.7 | -27.6 -17.7  295  38 19   7.9   4.3
 25000 -26.6 -15.9  305  43 22   6.7   3.7 | -25.3 -13.5  300  35 18   7.9   4.3
 24000 -24.6 -12.3  305  42 22   6.2   3.4 | -23.2  -9.8  300  33 17   5.8   3.2
 23000 -22.7  -8.9  300  40 21   6.3   3.4 | -21.5  -6.7  300  32 17   5.8   3.2
 22000 -20.8  -5.4  295  39 20   6.3   3.5 | -19.8  -3.6  295  32 16   5.8   3.2
 21000 -18.8  -1.8  295  35 18   7.7   4.2 | -17.8  -0.0  295  30 15   7.3   4.0
 20000 -16.5   2.3  290  30 15   7.7   4.2 | -15.6   3.9  290  27 14   7.4   4.0
 19500 -15.4   4.3  290  27 14   7.7   4.2 | -14.5   5.9  285  25 13   7.4   4.0
 19000 -14.2   6.4  285  24 12   7.6   4.2 | -13.4   7.9  285  23 12   7.2   4.0
 18500 -13.0   8.6  285  21 11   8.7   4.8 | -12.3   9.9  280  21 11   6.7   3.7
 18000 -11.7  10.9  275  17  9   8.6   4.7 | -11.4  11.5  280  18  9   6.6   3.6
 17500 -10.4  13.3  270  14  7   7.9   4.4 | -10.3  13.5  280  17  8   8.7   4.8
 17000  -9.3  15.3  285  16  8   7.6   4.1 |  -8.9  16.0  280  17  9   9.0   4.9
 16500  -7.7  18.1  300  19 10   6.3   3.5 |  -7.6  18.3  285  18  9   8.6   4.7
 16000  -6.8  19.8  305  19 10   6.1   3.3 |  -6.4  20.5  285  18  9   7.9   4.3
 15500  -6.0  21.2  310  20 10   6.8   3.7 |  -5.2  22.6  285  18  9   7.9   4.3
 15000  -4.9  23.2  305  18 10   8.1   4.5 |  -4.1  24.6  285  18  9   8.2   4.5
 14500  -3.8  25.2  300  17  9   6.7   3.7 |  -2.5  27.5  290  16  8   6.3   3.4
 14000  -2.7  27.1  295  17  9   9.6   5.3 |  -1.4  29.5  290  16  8   9.2   5.1
 13500  -1.3  29.7  295  17  9   9.1   5.0 |  -0.1  31.8  290  16  8   8.5   4.7
 13000   0.0  32.0  295  17  9   9.8   5.4 |   1.2  34.2  290  16  8   9.9   5.4
 12500   1.5  34.7  295  17  9  10.1   5.6 |   2.6  36.7  290  16  8   9.8   5.4
 12000   3.0  37.4  295  16  8   9.7   5.3 |   4.0  39.2  290  16  8   9.6   5.3
 11750   3.8  38.8  295  16  8  10.7   5.9 |   4.8  40.6  290  16  8  10.4   5.7
 11500   4.5  40.1  295  16  8  10.6   5.8 |   5.5  41.9  290  16  8  10.3   5.6
 11250   5.3  41.5  295  16  8  10.5   5.7 |   6.3  43.3  290  16  8  10.2   5.6
 11000   6.1  43.0  295  16  8  10.2   5.6 |   7.1  44.8  290  16  8  10.0   5.5
 10750   6.9  44.4  295  16  8  10.2   5.6 |   7.8  46.0  290  16  8  10.2   5.6
 10500   7.6  45.7  295  16  8  10.0   5.5 |   8.6  47.5  290  15  8  10.4   5.7
 10250   8.4  47.1  295  15  8  10.6   5.8 |   9.4  48.9  295  15  8  10.5   5.7
 10000   9.2  48.6  295  15  8  11.1   6.1 |  10.1  50.2  295  15  8  10.6   5.8
  9750  10.0  50.0  295  15  8  11.7   6.4 |  10.9  51.6  295  15  8  10.7   5.9
  9500  10.9  51.6  295  14  7  10.7   5.8 |  11.7  53.1  295  14  7   9.9   5.4
  9250  11.9  53.4  295  13  7  18.6  10.2 |  12.5  54.5  295  13  7  14.2   7.8
  9000  15.1  59.2  295  12  6  83.4  45.8 |  14.5  58.1  290  12  6  47.6  26.1
  8750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC).  It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near Villa Grove, Colorado at:

                   North Latitude:  38 deg 16 min 03 sec
                   West Longitude: 105 deg 53 min 37 sec
                   Elevation: 7986 feet (2434 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

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