Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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788
FNUS51 KBUF 210533
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
133 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

.DISCUSSION...
It will certainly be air conditioner weather during the next couple
days...as a mid summer airmass will be in place with temperatures
averaging WELL ABOVE normal and increasingly uncomfortable humidity
levels. While this airmass will favor some spotty thunderstorms
inland from the lakes on Tuesday...a much higher risk for storms
will be on Wednesday when a cold front will approach the region.
Cooler more comfortable weather can be expected Thursday into the
start of the Memorial Day weekend.

NYZ201-210800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
133 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

                            Overnight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           30            0           50
Precip type                      None        Tstms         None        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       62           88           63           87
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  5                      S  5
PM Wind (mph)                                SW  8        SW  5        SW  9
Precip amount                    0.00         0.03         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                  1                         1
Precip begin                                 11 AM                      2 PM
Precip end                                    6 PM                Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               98           40           97           39
Haines Index                        4            4            3            3
LAL                                 1            3            3            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        8950                      9100
Transport wind (kt)              S 10        SW 18        SW 11        SW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       161100            0       182000
Dispersion Index                    0          161            0          182
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-210800-
Southern Tier-
133 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

                            Overnight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy       Mclear        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           30            0           60
Precip type                      None        Tstms         None        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       61           88           62           87
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  7                     SW  7
PM Wind (mph)                                SW  8        SW  5        SW 10
Precip amount                    0.00         0.02         0.00         0.04
Precip duration                                  1                         2
Precip begin                                 11 AM                      2 PM
Precip end                                    6 PM                Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           37           90           39
Haines Index                        4            4            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            4            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        9720                      8540
Transport wind (kt)              S 11        SW 17        SW  9        SW 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       165240            0       179340
Dispersion Index                    0          165            0          179
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
60s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs around 70.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...South around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$