Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Cheyenne, WY

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FNUS75 KCYS 230037
FWSCYS

Spot Forecast for Tree fire...Yoder Fire
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
637 PM MDT Wed May 22 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service at (307) 772-2227.

.DISCUSSION...Dry and quiet weather expected over the next 12 hours
across Goshen County before a strong cold front pushes across
the region early Thursday morning. Winds out of the south or southeast
will shift into the northwest and increase through the afternoon.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....39 to 44 Degrees.
Max humidity........60 to 75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 200 ft AGL in the late evening.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (95200 knot-ft) early this evening
                    decreasing to poor (2400 knot-ft) in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59  50  40  32  24  17  16  15  14  14  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............66  61  58  55  53  51  50  48  48  47  45
RH..............27  33  36  41  46  50  54  56  56  58  60
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  8   8   8   9   9   10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...10  5.6 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.21  20  17  17  16  16  15  13  13  12  13
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/1000187 95  24  6   5   11  8   6   5   3   2

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-65 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1500, then 3.
Max temperature.....67 to 72 degrees.
Min humidity........20 to 26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southeast winds 9 to 16 mph shifting to
                    the northwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts to around 45
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 15400 ft AGL late in
                    the morning, then decreasing to 5300 ft AGL
                    behind the cold front.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 22 mph increasing to 30 to 40
                    mph and shifting to the northwest.
Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to excellent (230700 knot-ft) late in the
                    morning through the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  11  8   6   9   13  17  30  42  55  54  53
Weather cov.....                                    CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3
Temp............47  50  56  62  64  65  66  66  65  65  63  62
RH..............56  52  43  35  32  31  28  28  28  29  24  24
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..9   13  16  17  18  18  18  21  23  25  25  24
20 FT wind gust.12  23  28  31  32  32  32  36  40  44  44  41
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.0 2.7 7.4 12  15  13  9.2 5.3 3.9 3.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   NW  NW  W
Transp wind spd.14  17  22  24  24  24  23  25  29  31  35  39
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10005   6   19  58  155 261 308 294 231 143 117 118

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....34 to 40 degrees.
Max humidity........65 to 85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to
                    around 40 mph decreasing to 6 to 13 mph late in
                    the evening.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 40 to 52 mph decreasing to 32 to 40 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (209600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (32100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night overnight.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........52  48  44  41  31  21  11  10  8   6   6   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............60  56  53  49  46  45  44  43  41  40  39  39
RH..............25  29  32  40  47  50  53  57  61  64  66  68
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W
20 FT wind spd..23  21  21  18  16  13  10  9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.40  38  35  31  26  22  13  12  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 3.9 4.4 4.7 4.2 3.5 2.8 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.3 1.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.43  47  51  52  51  48  45  43  40  38  35  32
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/1000132 159 193 210 186 148 109 86  69  56  39  32

$$

Requested by...Trevor Pulver
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2414959.0/CYS
.DELDT 05/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL pulver@yoderfire.org