034
FNUS21 KWNS 271657
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1156 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024

Valid 271700Z - 281200Z

Only minor edits were made to expand the Elevated further northward
in south-central New Mexico in alignment with latest trends in
guidance. Otherwise, the D1 Fire Weather Outlook remains on track.
See previous discussion for more information.

..Thornton.. 05/27/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/

...Synopsis...
Elevated fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon across
parts of southern New Mexico and far West Texas. Latest fuel
analyses show that the driest fuels reside over southeast NM into
far West TX where multiple days of very dry conditions (single-digit
RH minimums) have allowed for substantial curing of 10 and 100-hour
fuels. Despite the favorable fuel conditions, upper-level ridging
combined with weakening mid-level flow will yield weaker surface
winds compared to previous days. Westerly winds are forecast to
generally reach 10-15 mph for most locations, but a swath of
southern NM/far West TX should see a few hours of winds closer to 15
mph (occasionally gusting to near 20 mph) that will support elevated
fire weather conditions given forecast afternoon RH minimums between
5-15%.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$