Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
194
FNUS52 KILM 231858
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
258 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will retreat farther offshore today through the
weekend. Shower and thunderstorm chances will gradually increase
as a series of upper level disturbances move across the region.
Rain chances may continue through Tuesday until a cold front
moves across the Carolinas.
Fog potential for tonight is moderate along and west of I-95,
with low fog potential east of I-95 to the coast.
NCZ105>110-241100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
258 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 50 50 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 4 4 3
Min/Max Temp 67 89 67 86
Max/Min RH (%) 96 55 100 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 4 SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.01 0.21 0.14 0.11
Precip Duration 0 2 2 2
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 75/0900 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 5200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55200 67600
ADI Early 33 Fair 39 Fair 22 Fair 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 45 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 61 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 6 9
Max LVORI Late 6 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-241100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
258 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 50 50 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 4 4 4
Min/Max Temp 67 88 67 87
Max/Min RH (%) 95 53 100 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.15 0.23 0.14 0.13
Precip Duration 2 2 2 5
Precip Begin 9 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 71/0800 1900 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 5200
Transport Wind (mph) W 12 W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52800 62400
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 30 Fair 31 Fair 39 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 51 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 70 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 6 9
Max LVORI Late 6 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 81 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-241100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
258 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 60 50 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 4 4 3
Min/Max Temp 67 88 67 88
Max/Min RH (%) 96 54 100 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.49 0.42 0.08
Precip Duration 2 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/0800 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 5500
Transport Wind (mph) W 13 W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66300 77000
ADI Early 41 Gen Good 46 Gen Good 22 Fair 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 61 Good 5 Very Poor 80 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 6 9
Max LVORI Late 6 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-241100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
258 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 50 50 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 4 4 3
Min/Max Temp 67 88 67 88
Max/Min RH (%) 97 53 100 56
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.11 0.22 0.16 0.05
Precip Duration 2 2 2 2
Precip Begin 9 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 74/0900 2000 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 5600
Transport Wind (mph) W 12 W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60000 72800
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 40 Fair 28 Fair 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 62 Good 5 Very Poor 83 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 7 6 9
Max LVORI Late 6 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA