Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
495 FXUS65 KLKN 240820 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 120 AM PDT Fri May 24 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Unsettled weather resumes across today and Saturday due to a storm system impacting the region, leading to increased precipitation chances. A warming trend with dry weather is forecast Sunday through Tuesday of next week as high pressure aloft builds over the Intermountain West. && .SHORT TERM...Friday through Saturday An upper level storm system approaches the district today. Ahead of the trough of low pressure will see increasing cloud cover this morning across Central and Northern Nevada, as well as increasing chances of showers in the afternoon. Hi-res model guidance depicts isolated showers starting in the early afternoon hours, and becoming more widespread in the evening. Isolated thunderstorms in White Pine County, as well as Nye County are conceivable this afternoon associated with limited instability. On Saturday, chances for showers continue as the trough and associated cold front impact the district. An uptick in westerly winds across the entire region will occur associated with the cold front. HREF guidance shows some instability in eastern Elko County & White Pine Counties by late morning through early afternoon Saturday, which is also where NBM guidance shows a chance of isolated thunderstorms. As the storm exits the region on Saturday afternoon, lingering showers are forecast to diminish as dry air makes its way through Nevada. .LONG TERM...Sunday through next Friday Dry conditions expected Sunday into early next week as a ridge of high pressure builds over the Intermountain West. A weak upper- level disturbance will bring light rain showers across far northeastern Nevada Tuesday morning and afternoon. Winds will be fairly light Monday but southwest winds will increase by midweek as a trough slowly moves into the Pacific Northwest. Highs will rise into the lower to mid 80s and overnight lows in the 40s. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours at all terminals. Breezy winds 20-30KT are possible at all terminals during the afternoon and early evening hours. -SHRA is also possible but occurrence on station remains low, so went with VCSH. && .HYDROLOGY...Cooler temperatures the past several days have slowed the rate of snow melt and flows on faster responding small creeks and streams. Temperatures will quickly warm Sunday and early next week and flows on many small creeks and streams are expected to again rise, possibly into action stage for some, such as Lamoille Creek. The lower Humboldt continues to run strong with Battle Mountain currently in action stage and Comus forecast to enter action stage early next week. Wildhorse Reservoir resides in action stage and is forecast to remain in action stage for the next several days. The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain resides in action stage and is forecast to remain in action stage for the next several days. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 95/92/93