977
FNUS74 KMOB 231017
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Chick 412, 420...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
517 AM CDT Thu May 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 75 EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON OVER
THE BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected at the burn site
through Friday. Afternoon relative humidity values remain above
critical levels today and Friday. Transport winds will be
southerly to southwesterly today around 7 to 14 mph and
southwesterly around 7 to 13 mph on Friday. Dispersion index
values will be generally good today and good on Friday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog development is not expected
tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...396-1737 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....20 increasing to 51.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........61  54  47  45  42  40  35  31  26  32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............72  76  80  83  86  88  89  90  90  90
RH..............84  76  69  63  55  52  48  47  49  49
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.3   5   7   7   8   8   8   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 2.6 3.1 3.8 4.6 5.0 5.5 5.7 5.7 5.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW S   S   SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.12  14  13  9   8   7   7   8   8   8
Trans wind dir..S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW S   S   SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).5   6   6   4   4   3   3   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..20  41  48  48  46  43  47  51  51  51
LVORI...........4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1737 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....51 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........38  44  40  37  33  43  53  63  68  72  77  74
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............88  84  80  77  75  73  72  71  71  71  71  71
RH..............54  61  72  79  84  93  93  97  97  97  100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   7   7   7   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...5.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.8   8   10  12  12  12  12  9   8   7   8   9
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   5   5   5   5   4   4   3   4   4
Dispersion idx..51  5   5   6   6   7   6   5   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........1   3   3   4   5   5   7   8   9   9   9   9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1859 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 71.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........71  68  63  57  52  41  29  18  18  18  18  16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............71  71  74  78  81  84  86  89  91  92  92  91
RH..............100 100 93  85  77  70  61  54  50  47  47  49
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.5   5   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.7 3.3 4.0 4.7 5.1 5.6 6.1 6.1
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.9
Transp wind dir.SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  12  12  12  10  10  12  12  13  12
Trans wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  SW
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4   5   5   6   5
Dispersion idx..4   10  19  29  39  46  53  61  66  71  75  75
LVORI...........9   7   5   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...14
Requested by...Ryan Barnett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414953.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.barnett@usda.gov