934
FNUS73 KMPX 281301
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Overby...FWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
801 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on May 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION....Clouds will gradually diminish through the day today
with no additional precipitation expected. North winds 10-15 mph
gusting to around 20 mph. RH will bottom out around 50 percent
late this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Temperature.........60 at ignition...Max 63.
RH..................60 percent at ignition...Min 48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 14 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    North winds 14 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /98200 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /101800 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 18 to 22 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  61  62  63  62  63  62  62  59  56  53  52
RH..............60  56  54  50  50  48  50  50  57  62  69  71
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..14  15  15  15  15  14  14  13  10  8   6   6
20 FT wind gust.21  22  22  21  21  21  20  18  15  12  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...5.2 5.4 5.6 5.5 5.1 5.1 4.8 3.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.22  22  21  20  20  18  17  15  14  12  12  12
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Min 44.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 14 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light, then becoming
                    northeast around 5 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (71600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 17 mph shifting to the northeast 8
                    to 9 mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Temperature.........Max 70.
RH..................Min 42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    6 to 12 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (62700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 8 mph shifting to the southeast 9
                    to 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Borghoff
Requested by...Millette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415193.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov